This is a huge game for both clubs and it is a must-win for both clubs too if they are to realistically stay in the hunt for the title. Palmeiras have opened up a 6 point cushion at the top with 6 games to go but these two sides are their closest challengers.
Flamengo have stayed in the race for much longer than many expected but the cracks have just started to show in recent weeks. They’ve only won 2 of their last 6 in all competitions and have taken just 1 point from their last two league games while Palmeiras have claimed maximum points. The problem of late has been a defensive one, which was their strength for much of the season.
They’ve only managed 4 clean sheets in their last 17 matches in all competitions and have conceded twice in each of their last two league games. They are decent going forward but have the worst goal-scoring record in the top four and don’t have a clinical striker that can get them out of trouble so they have been reliant on their defence doing their job in most of their wins this term.
With that defence creaking a little, Atletico Mineiro have all the tools to take advantage. They average 2.19 goals per game at home and have the top scorer in the league in the shape of Fred and joint 2nd top scorer Robinho to call upon, so they should cause Flamengo plenty of problems here. Their home record is exceptional, with 81% of their home matches this season ending in victory and they’ve won 13 of their last 14 home games in all competitions.
Given Flamengo just look to be fading at the crucial moment, backing Atletico Mineiro to Win at 6/5 looks to offer the value here.
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