At the start of the season, Las Palmas were strong favourites to finish above Girona but things can turn around very quickly in football and the Canary Islanders come into this round of fixtures, which marks the halfway point in the season, a huge 12 points behind their opponents.
They are already onto their fourth coach of the season but the latest man in the hot-seat, Paco Jemez, has failed to get off to a good start and it’s starting to feel like there is no hope for Las Palmas now. Jemez didn’t even want the job initially but was finally persuaded to make the switch and might already be regretting it, having seen his side get hammered at Valencia in the Copa del Rey in midweek and lose his first league game at home to Eibar.
It’s hard to fancy them getting anything here either. 78% of their away games in La Liga this term have ended in defeat. They have by far the worst defensive record in the division, with 2.22 goals per game conceded and their last 14 league fixtures have produced 11 defeats and just one victory.
Therefore confidence in their camp must be at rock bottom and when you change the coach as regularly as they have been doing, the chance of an immediate upturn in fortunes with a new man at the helm is surely reduced too.
Girona by contrast have been the model of a stable, well-run club in recent years. Pablo Machín has been in charge for nearly four years now, a relative eternity in the mad world of Spanish football. His side have done brilliantly on their debut campaign at this level and are averaging 1.22 goals per game, an excellent return for a team everyone expected to struggle.
They like to get the ball wide and get plenty of crosses into the box and you wouldn’t back this dodgy Las Palmas defence to deal with that very well. Girona have had the advantage of a week off too, having perhaps wisely not treated the Copa del Rey at all seriously in the previous round.
They will be fully focused on this game and getting the win, which would see them onto an excellent 26 points at the half-way stage. That could see them move as high as 8th place and it would take some collapse for them to be relegated from that position.
Overall backing Girona to Win looks like the way to go here, while for larger potential returns, consider going for Girona to Win to Nil. That looks an attractive bet given Las Palmas have lost to nil in a huge 78% of their away league matches this term.
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