The final Scottish Cup clash of the weekend is a potentially fiery Edinburgh derby, with just one place between these two sides in the league table. Can 2016 winners Hibernian kick off another run to the final, or are they set to lose to their bitter rivals? Having made the League Cup semis this term and the FA Cup semis last season, the visitors have to be in a good position to progress. However, this game is likely to be so tight that they could need at least a replay in order to make it through.
Hearts come in to this game on the back of three straight 0-0 draws, one of which was their last home game against Hibernian. The hosts have been in strong form at the back of late, they seem to have really tightened up their defence. They’ve kept six clean sheets on the bounce, conceding in just one of their last six at home. That run could well continue here, as they prepare for another close encounter with their local rivals.
These two have met twice this season, and there’s been a single goal across those clashes. Hibs won 1-0 in their clash at Easter Road, before drawing with Hearts last month. The pair have seen one goal or fewer scored in four of their last five meetings, such is the pressure on each team when the two capital city sides come face to face. With this being a knockout tie built up for weeks during the mid-season break, there’s going to be even more expectation on the two, and that’s unlikely to improve the quality of the game.
Hibs will also prefer this game being away, as they’ve got a much better defensive record on their travels. While they’ve conceded in 91% of their league matches at Easter Road – which is every game bar their clash with Hearts – they’ve kept a clean sheet in 45% of their away trips. With a clean sheet to their name in four of their last six trips, Hibs should be looking for another solid display in this clash.
As a result, we’re going against both teams scoring on Sunday. Hearts have seen both teams score in just 36% of their home games, so we aren’t expecting a high scoring affair. We’re also backing under 1.5 goals here, which looks like great value given their form. Hearts have seen fewer than two goals in 45% of their home matches, and in four of their last six Premiership games overall.
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