Hearts and Hibernian meet once again this weekend, in their final Edinburgh derby of the campaign. There’s now a 20 point gap between these two, as Hibs push for a second place finish in the Scottish Premiership. The Easter Road side are aiming to secure a top two finish in their first season back in the top flight, and they’re just three points off Aberdeen ahead of the final week of the season. Can they take all three points away to their bitter rivals to boost their hopes of second, or will Hearts put an end to that this week?
The hosts have secured a top half finish, which is a solid finish having spent part of the campaign playing away from their own ground. Starting the season at Murrayfield instead of Tynecastle was a blow, but they managed to straighten up after a rocky start by going on an impressive unbeaten run in front of their own fans. That came to an end on Sunday, as the Jambos lost 3-1 at home to Celtic.
That defeat was a rare case of the Hearts’ defence being torn apart, who have conceded just 0.71 goals per game at home this term. They’ve let in 68% of their total goals on the road, which has helped them pick up points at Tynecastle. Their strong defensive form at home has helped them become one of the most solid outfits in the Premiership, so they should hold out against the Hibs attack.
The visitors have scored 1.22 goals per game on the road, but their main strength has been their defence. They’ve conceded just 44% of their goals on their travels, letting in less than a goal per game away from home. They’re going to come to this ground looking to keep things tight against their local rivals, and they’ll probably aim to spring on the counter and edge out a result.
There two have seen plenty of low scoring games, with under 2.5 landing in 71% of Hearts’ home matches. Meanwhile, just 33% of Hibs’ away trips have seen less than three goals scored. These two have met four times this season, and all of them have seen under 2.5 goals, so we’re backing a repeat on Wednesday night. Meanwhile, Hibs come here unbeaten in 12, having drawn half of their away trips this season. Given that Hearts have only lost once at Tynecastle in the league this season, we’re backing a draw between these two.
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