Heerenveen need to end their awful recent form with a victory over Willem II on Friday night. The hosts have been struggling for results of late, losing five of their last six outings. However, four of those defeats came on the road. Returning to their own ground, De Superfriezen will be aiming to get their European chase back on track. The hosts sit eighth in the Eredivisie, which has left them outside of the Europa League play-offs with just three games to play.
The hosts are thankful that Twente, the side directly above them in the table, are banned from playing in Europe. That should see De Superfriezen sneak in to the play-off by default, but they’ll have to improve if they’re going to have any chance of qualifying for the Europa League. Having seen off Sparta Rotterdam 3-0 in their last home outing, they’ll be aiming to continue their decent record at home.
Heerenveen have won seven of their home matches this term, suffering just three defeats. Those losses came against the top two in the league and cup finalists AZ, which is a solid return. Their record against sides at the bottom is impressive. Having faced six of the bottom eight at the Abe Lenstra, winning five and drawing once.
Meanwhile, Willem II have lost seven of their 15 on the road. They’ve suffered three defeats in their last four, while they average just 0.8 goals per game on their travels. Heerenveen, on the other hand, concede less than a goal per game on their own patch. They take on a Willem side which has failed to score in 47% of their trips, while the home side have found the net in all but two of their outings at this ground.
We’re backing a home win on Friday night, which seems well priced at 8/11 with bet365. Heerenveen are unbeaten at home to Willem since 2002, while they’ve won five of their last six against the Tricolores at the Abe Lenstra. Given how poor the visitors are on the road, we can’t see them causing a shock. This is the perfect chance for the home side to improve their form, and we’re backing them to claim a 2-1 win at 15/2 with bet365.
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