Sunday night sees a huge clash in the race for the top three places in Serie A. Second placed Roma are sitting seven points back from Juventus, so their hopes of taking the title seem to be over. However, they need to keep their focus to secure second. After their defeat to Porto in the Champions League qualifiers earlier this season, they’ll want an automatic spot in next season’s competition. Meanwhile, Inter have come from nowhere to make a serious push for third, and they can boost their chances with a victory this weekend.
These two sides come in to this game looking pretty strong in the league. They both top the form table over the last eight games, picking up 21 points from a possible 24. While these two have been impressing, they aren’t alone. Competing for a place in Europe in Serie A is getting tough, with the just two points separating the league’s current top five in the latest form table. That’s made things very tight, while it’s difficult for any of the European contenders to pull clear. The real test will be seeing who can maintain that kind of standard for the rest of the season.
While closing the gap on the top three has been difficult for Inter in recent weeks, they’ve got an opportunity to do so here. The Nerazzurri possess one of the strongest home records in Serie A, having won 75% of their outings at the San Siro. Meanwhile, Roma have won six and lost five of their 13 games on the road, which isn’t the kind of away record that could worry Stefano Pioli and his team. That poor return on their travels is a key reason behind the Giallorossi falling so far off the top of the table. Just 36% of their points and 33% of their goals have come away from the Stadio Olimpico.
Inter have won to nil in 42% of their home matches in the league, while they’ve kept all of those clean sheets in their last seven games. That’s left them with an impressive defensive record, letting in just 0.75 goals per game at their own ground. Since sacking Frank de Boer, their form has completely turned around. The Nerazzurri have won eight straight home league matches, propelling them in to the European picture. Roma’s last eight away trips have seen them fail to win in half, which is worrying ahead of this crucial game.
We’re backing Inter’s rampant form here to lead them to victory over Roma. The visitors seem to have taken a hit after dropping out of the title race, and they don’t seem prepared for such a big clash. Recent history points to a home win, with the Giallorossi losing in their last three away to Inter. Given that the hosts have avoided defeat in 92% of their games, we think it’s worth backing the Nerazzurri draw no bet at 4/5 with bet365.
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