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Leeds vs Derby Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews


13th January
Elland Road




Leeds vs Derby predictions for this Friday’s game in the Championship. Our betting tips suggest it will be a low-scoring affair.

Leeds vs Derby Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

Leeds vs Derby Predictions

Both Teams to Score - No at 8/11 with bet365

Correct Score Prediction

Leeds to Win 1-0 at 6/1 with bet365

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Reason For Leeds vs Derby Betting Tips

This is a really big game in the race for the play-off places. The longer the season goes on, the more you are convinced that Gary Monk’s Leeds are the real deal and they look like very strong top six contenders now. Derby meanwhile are the side outside of the top six that looks most likely to gatecrash it, so this promises to be a good contest and it’s likely to be a tight game between two sides that are strong at the back.

Leeds are the slight favourites and when you look at their recent home form, it’s not hard to see why. They’ve won 8 of their last 10 in the Championship at Elland Road, with only Newcastle winning at the ground during that period. The defence has very much been the foundation for their success at home. Leeds have conceded only 0.69 goals per game at Elland Road this term. They’ve kept clean sheets in an impressive 46% of their home games and are bidding for their 5th consecutive home win to nil here.

Derby though will provide them with one of their sternest tests. The Rams have kept clean sheets in a massive 56% of their Championship games this season, conceding just 0.72 goals per game on average. Only leaders Brighton have a better defensive record than Derby and in a tough game like this, they are likely to set their stall out to be tough to break down, particularly after an uncharacteristic performance as they sank to a 3-0 defeat at Norwich last time out in the league. They responded well to that though by dumping top flight West Brom out of the FA Cup at the Hawthorns last weekend, so it was probably little more than a blip.

The bookies are having a hard time picking a favourite for this match and it could be a cagey affair, at least in the opening stages. There was only one goal when they met in the East Midlands earlier in the season and both teams have scored in only 40% of Leeds games and just 20% of Derby matches in the Championship this term. Given that, there looks to be value in backing Both Teams to Score – NO at 8/11.

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Head To Head

The last 6 meetings have been evenly contested with 2 wins each and 2 draws. Derby won 1-0 when the sides met in the East Midlands earlier in the season.

Leeds vs Derby Stats

Leeds have won 46% of their home games this season to nil, including all of the last 4. Derby's Championship matches this term average a league low 1.68 goals per game. Only 2nd bottom Wigan have scored fewer goals than the Rams, who average just 0.96 per game.

Leeds Team News

Liam Cooper picked up a knock on Monday in the FA Cup but Leeds are hopeful he will be fit. They could use him given fellow centre-back Pontus Jansson starts a 2 game ban and left-back Charlie Taylor is still out with an achilles problem.

Derby Team News

Will Hughes returns from a 2 game ban but Derby have numerous absentees. Fellow midfielder Jacob Butterfield is suspended while there are big problems at left-back with Marcus Olsson, Craig Forsyth and Max Lowe all injured and Ikechi Anya, who has filled in there, rated doutbful. George Thorne, Cyrus Christie and James Wilson are all still out.

Leeds vs Derby Predictions

Both Teams to Score - No at 8/11 with bet365

Correct Score Prediction

Leeds to Win 1-0 at 6/1 with bet365

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