The sides who finished third and fourth in Serie B this season are fighting it out for one last top flight place. The pair both came incredibly close in the regular season, with Frosinone missing out on head to head record, and Palermo coming a point short of second. The pair have done enough to earn a second shot at promotion, but who will be plying their trade at the very highest level next season? These two meet for the first leg of their play-off final on Wednesday night, following semi-final wins on Sunday.
Frosinone booked their place here with a 2-2 aggregate draw against Cittadella. They qualified for the final based on their higher league position, and they will be seen as the favourites to make a return to the top flight. However, Palermo are looking to bounce straight back after relegation last season, and they ended Venezia’s hopes of a third straight promotion at the weekend. Their 1-0 home win over the side who finished directly below them could prove crucial, as it will boost their confidence going in to Wednesday’s first leg.
Frosinone took just 40% of their points on the road last season, so they could be vulnerable in this trip. Meanwhile, Palermo claimed the majority of their points and scored most of their goals at this ground, so we expect them to make home advantage pay. The main thing for the hosts will be to take advantage of some poor away form from the visitors, who struggled in meetings with promotion challengers on the road.
Frosinone failed to win at any of the top six, losing three of those five. They won just twice at sides placed 14th or above in the table, and that poor form could cost them in this clash. Meanwhile, Palermo didn’t lose at home to any of the top six, and that run includes a 1-0 victory over Frosinone. The host have won three of their last four head to head meetings, so we’re backing them to claim a crucial victory here to follow up their Venezia victory. We’re also backing a 2-0 home win as our correct score prediction.
Palermo’s main weapon in recent weeks has been the form of Antonino La Gumina, who has hit form at the perfect time. He has six goals in his last nine matches, and he’s chipped in with 10 goals towards their promotion push this season. We expect the forward to add to his tally with another strike in midweek, given that he’s their most in form forward player. La Gumina to score any time is our other tip for this clash, which looks like big value given his recent strike rate.
Football predictions including accumulators, both teams to score, both teams to score and win and correct score!