AT&T Byron Nelson Betting Tips & Predictions 2017
It’s back to Texas we go this week for the AT&T Byron Nelson, which was originally known as the Dallas Open. It’s not as popular a tournament as it once was but the world’s greatest players in history have all come here and won; Tiger Woods, Jack Nicklaus, Tom Watson, Sam Snead and Ben Hogan to name a few. Sergio Garcia won this event in 2016 but he looks too short at 12/1 this week. It will take him a while to get used to his surroundings after his Masters exertions and he was certainly suffering at the Players last week, where one good round of five undermined three poor ones.
TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas is the tournament host. The course is a Par 70 measuring 7,166 yards. There are water hazards on eight holes and accuracy off the tee is important as if a player misses the fairway, tree lined Bermuda grass comes into play. Bentline undulating greens await the players for their approach and they are usually average speed, 11 on the stimpmeter. The players do not like this course one bit and openly speak about their dislike of the course, so as of 2018 it will be moved to Trinity Forest, a links style track.
WHAT DOES IT TAKE TO WIN?
We are looking for a player who can give it a good smack of the tee first and foremost. Five of the last six winners were ranked in the Top 14 on Tour for Driving Distance. Brendan Todd, who is short off the tee, won here three years ago so it isn’t absolutely essential but he was No. 1 in Scrambling that week, which offset the length off the tee. Par 4 Scoring is another very important stat, whilst you need a player who can get off to a quick start as no player outside of the Top 10 at half way has won here since 1966!
10th here in 2015 and 12th here in 2016, Tony Finau has the perfect profile to do the job around this course this weekend. As we previously mentioned, we are looking for a player who can hit it a long way off the tee and he crushes it, ranked 9th longest on Tour. He missed his last two cuts but he finished T-3 in the Valero Texas Open not too far from here in his start before that. He seems to always enjoy playing in Texas and at 40/1 looks too big to ignore.
Still just a 25 year old, this Alabama native already has a PGA Tour victory to his name and is creeping in relatively under the radar this week which means one thing; great odds! This is his debut in the Byron Nelson but his game is made for the course. He averages over 300 yards off the tee, ranked 17th longest on Tour, plenty long enough around here. He arrives here off the back of a terrific T-12 finish in The Players and a Top 5 finish in the Wells Fargo. This could well be the week he gains his second PGA Tour win.
Billy Hurley III
Billy has played in this event five times and his best finish was 16th in 2014. He made the cut in 2015 and 2016 too but his game seems to be creeping to a higher level in 2017 and he may well have the ability to win this week. The 34 year old from Virginia was T-8 in the Wells Fargo Championship two weeks ago and he played respectably when T-41 in The Players on an extremely tough course. OK, he is not long off the tee at all, which was one of our requirements but his touch around the greens is exceptional and with small to average sized greens this week, he will see plenty of chipping action.