Golovkin vs Alvarez Betting Tips & Predictions
Gennady “GGG” Golovkin vs Saul “Canelo” Alvarez has been the fight that boxing fans have been desperate to see for a long time. After years of it not being made, it is finally here and boxing fans are so excited about the prospect of seeing two pound-for-pound greats fighting against each other.
Golovkin (37-0) has been a terror at middleweight after a decorated amateur career which included an Olympic silver medal in 2004. He was something of a gym story at first after beginning training with Abel Sanchez in 2010. His career really took off when beating Milton Nunez for the WBA Regular Title. He reminded under the radar but his US debut saw him stop Grzegorz Proksa in five. As a champion he terrorised the division stopping Geale, Ishida, Macklin and Rosado. He added the WBC title to his mantle by defeating Marco Antonio Rubio. The IBF title came when he beat David Lemieux. His latest two defences came in high profile spots. Kell Brook moved up from welterweight to challenge Canelo and was dispatched with a damaged retina. Daniel Jacobs was his last opponent and took him to a decision where Golovkin got the controversial victory.
Golovkin is best known for his aggressive stalking and power punching, stopping 33 opponents. He is intelligent as a puncher and with his footwork. He is not speedy but his footwork cuts the ring off well. His best work comes from his jab and left hook, which is particularly dangerous to the body. He has a superb chin which has seen him never knocked down. He does not use a lot of head movement though, preferring a shell technique which can leave his body open to attack.
Canelo (49-1-1) turned professional at 15 and has been a huge prospect for years. In his third bout he defeated future world champion Miguel Vazquez. In his 25th bout he won the NABF Welterweight Title. He featured on the Mayweather – Mosley undercard where he stopped Jose Miguel Cotto. Following this he moved up to light middleweight and became the second man to stop Carlos Baldomir. He won the WBC light middleweight title beating Matthew Hatton. He reeled off six defences including beating Shane Mosley and Austin Trout before losing a decision to Floyd Mayweather. Since then he has won seven straight winning the WBO Light Middleweight and WBC Middleweight titles with wins over Erislandy Lara, Amir Khan and Miguel Cotto.
Canelo is more stylistically flexible with the ability to go forwards or backwards. His punching is precise with brilliant speed and accuracy. He will likely look to counter punch here and will use him combination punching to allow him to exchange. Canelo has a tendency to put himself against the ropes which is dangerous against Golovkin and could be potentially show he has stamina issues. His struggles have been against slick boxers who move well; Austin Trout, Erislandy Lara and Floyd Mayweather Jr.
Golovkin, is the sweetheart of boxing fans and has been for years, which means he is favourite. He has shown holes in his last two fights. You could argue his plan against Kell Brook was not worried about taking punches as he knew he would stop him. However, Danny Jacobs showed that a speedy boxer can really trouble Golovkin. I had Jacobs winning by a point. Is Canelo regarded a better boxer than Jacobs? Yes, he’d be heavy favourite if the two clashed. Canelo has the boxing ability and the speed to copy the Jacobs game plan. The key may be that he also has a good chin and warrior mentality. He has never been stopped and only wobbled as a nineteen year old. His defensive abilities mean that you would not expect GGG to unload on his chin consistently. I think Canelo has to be the bet and you can add the decision to boost the price.
Free Betting Tips:
Scroll down for our undercard picks
Anthony Yarde v Norbert Nemesapati
Yarde (12-0) looks to add the WBO Inter-Continental Title to his WBO European Title. The Hungarian, Nemesapati (25-6) is a super middleweight who has never really managed to get to above European level. Five of his last six wins have come in four or six rounders. There was so many more intriguing fights out there for Yarde, including Hosea Burton. Even someone his own size would have made this more interesting. Yarde is a freak athlete with power. Nemestapi has only been stopped three times but up a division against a powerful hungry fighter, you have to expect this to be over early. Once again Yarde has showed a patience that makes betting on the rounds hard. To stop Nemesapati in the first three rounds at evens has to be seen as great value though.
Free Betting Tip: Anthony Yarde to win in rounds 1-3
Daniel Dubois vs AJ Carter
Dubois (4-0) has started his professional career impressively, with four quick stoppages netting him the WBC Youth Title. He was a decorated amateur who has knocked down Anthony Joshua and will be attempting to win the Southern Area title. Cater (8-3) has only won two of his last five including a loss last time against Kamil Sokolowski who was 2-9-2. To be knocked out by Sokolowski does not bode well for his prospects. Dubois is young, powerful and patient. A stoppage is highly likely but to make it worthwhile you have to pick a round. He has two in round one and two in round two. His patience will often mean round one could be too short. But, Carter has a couple of losses in round two against sub par opposition. Dubois is better than those men and will stop him earlier.
Free Betting Tip: Daniel Dubois to win in round one
Martin Murray vs Arman Torosyan
The Merseyside man, Murray (35-4-1) is looking to parlay a late career run into a title shot. He returns to super middleweight as he claimed there was no options for him at middleweight. He is a better middleweight for me but has only lost to George Groves and Arthur Abraham. Torosyan is also at the latter end of his career and has also lost any time he stepped up. His step ups have been at a lower level than what Murray has stepped up to. That means Murray has to be big favourite and I cannot see him losing. He is in no way a massive puncher and the fight is unlikely to be over quickly.
Free Betting Tip: Martin Murray to win on points
Billy Joe Saunders vs Willie Monroe
Another middleweight title fight, Billy Joe Saunders (24-0) defends his WBO Title against a good contender. He was a great amateur who turned pro after boxing at the Olympics aged 18. He has progressed through the titles available to him, winning the British, European and Commonwealth titles. He dispatched John Ryder, Jarrod Fletcher and rival Chris Eubank Jr during this title and stepped up to take on Andy Lee for the world title. He won a majority decision after dropping the Irishman twice in the third. The slick southpaw defended his title against Artur Akavov and will be hoping to put on a decent show here. On Twitter he has proclaimed this is his best camp yet and he has got into good shape after videos showed him very overweight.
His opponent Willie Monroe (21-2) failed in his one world title shot when Golovkin stopped him in six rounds. His other loss came against one of the most dangerous journeymen in world boxing, Darnell Boone. His best wins have come against Brian Vera and Gabriel Rosado. Monroe is another slick southpaw who is very elusive and difficult to hit. He tends to be a defensive fighter but the trash talking buildup had seen him suggest that a spark had been lit under him.
Monroe is a very good boxer, really talented with his instincts and movement. He is not a power puncher and will not stop Billy Joe. He is not really a power puncher either. Two stoppage wins in his last bouts, one of which was against a boxer with a losing record. Neither man looks likely to stop the other. That means we can give the odds a boost by picking the winner to win by decision. I have to think that will be Saunders. He will be boxing in front of a raucous home audience, cheering every time he lands a punch. The lack of punch for Monroe means that Saunders can basically walk through his jab. His aggression and the home judges will get him a win unless Monroe is about four rounds up. Saunders takes a wide decision win in a fight that looks close.
Free Betting Tip: Billy Joe Saunders to win by decision
Callum Smith vs Erik Skoglund
The second fight of the World Boxing Super Series and first up at light heavyweight sees the number two seed take on the big Swede. Callum Smith (22-0) turned down a shot at the WBC title to enter the tournament but this has been announced as for the WBC Diamond Belt. As part of the famous fighting Smith brothers he has been heavily hyped for a while. Over the last few years he has held the British, WBC Silver, European and WBC International Titles. His wins over Rocky Fielding, Christopher Rebrasse and Hadillah Mohoumadi were very impressive but sometimes he can flatter to deceive. Smith is technically sound with a good jab and a fair bit of power.
Erik Skoglund (26-0) was a bit of a wildcard in the World Boxing Super Series given the Swede has contended his fights at light heavyweight. He was on the edge on the world scene with his best wins coming over Glen Johnson, Luke Blackledge and Lolenga Mack. He has shown an ability to counter punch but for my money is best coming forward putting pressure on the opposition. He has decent power to go along with a big frame but has not fought anyone of Smith’s calibre.
Each man is the best opponent that either man has ever fought which makes this tough to call. Smith is the bigger man and punches with power and accuracy. Sometimes though he just does not look as prepared for bouts as you’d hope. If Smith comes in at his best, I believe his pace, size and power will wear Skoglund down for a late stoppage. If he doesn’t, he should have enough for a decision win but Skoglund is good enough to surprise a poor Smith you’d feel.
Free Betting Tip: Callum Smith by KO, TKO or DQ
Nicola Adams vs Alexandra Vlajk
Nicola Adams (2-0) makes her US debut against the Hungarian Vlajk (11-6). Nothing in her record suggests that Adams will struggle with Vlajk who has lost three of her last four, against inexperienced pros. She has been stopped twice, in the fifth and ninth. This is only a four round fight but it does have three minute rounds as opposed to the usual two in female boxing. Adams is not a huge puncher and her to win by decision has to be the bet.
Free Betting Tip: Nicola Adams by decision
Randy Caballero vs Diego De La Hoya
Diego De La Hoya (19-0), cousin to Oscar, looks to announce his own arrival to the world scene. Caballero (24-0) is trying to return to the heights after being IBF World Champion in 2014. He only lost that belt on the scales, but the win for the belt came over Stuart Hall, hardly a world beater himself. Since then he has really struggled with injuries. De La Hoya is the arguably the classier boxer but a look at his opposition tells you he has been protected. Caballero is the rougher, tougher boxer but has shown inconsistencies. Even against Hall, an average boxer, he struggled at times. So the question here is how good is Diego De La Hoya? I am willing to bet that De La Hoya has the higher upside here. He can press Caballero and use his tactical intelligence to upset Caballero.
Free Betting Tip: Diego De La Hoya to win