Nedbank Golf Challenge Betting Tips & Predictions
The European Tour rolls on with its slightly ill-fated ‘Race to Dubai’ series with a turn in South Africa this week and the Nedbank Challenge.
The likes of Rory McIlroy who could be here, is not, but Justin Rose has made a huge surge up to 2nd in the Rankings after his two wins in the last two weeks. He is hitting form at the right time and is now not far behind leader Tommy Fleetwood but Justin doesn’t play this week, Tommy does!
The Gary Player Country Club, named after the legendary South African shooter, hosts the event live from Sun City, and if the thought of that doesn’t warm your cockles then the reality that it is some 32˚C there right now just might.
It’s a whopper of a course – a full 7,831 yards for its Par 72 – and so those in attendance need to go big off the tee or go home. Former winners, such as Leishman, Willett, Martin Kaymer and Lee Westwood, Noren & Bjorn are all noted for their length off the peg but also their straight hitting too; a key angle in.
South African courses are unique because many of them are built with Kikuyu grass fairways and rough, which is a test in itself. That helps to explain why some players enjoy lots of repeat success in this tournament, and others don’t.
So we need powerful drivers but with a steady iron/short game too: these greens are smaller than average and well protected by bunkers, so Greens in Regulation is another statistic that is welcome this week. In 2015, Leishman ranked inside the top-15 for both Driving Accuracy and Distance and first for GIR, so that marks our card really nicely for what to look for in a winner.
There’s a lot to like about the chances of Ross Fisher this week. Scrolling back through his past form in this event it reads 3rd, 5th, 2nd, 15th, 25th from five starts, very impressive. He has found his game again this season and has been terribly unlucky not to find the winners enclosure; T-3 in the WGC Mexico Championship, T-3 in the Shenzhen International, 2nd in the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and T-2 in the Italian Open last month. He is a five time winner on tour, loves it in South Africa, and is long and straight off the tee. Hopefully a recipe for success this weekend.
When in South Africa, back a South African is a general rule of thumb. The local players always up their game on home soil and one man that looks hugely overpriced this week is 27 year old Dylan Frittelli. He got over the heartache of his runner up finish in the China Open this season by winning the Lyoness Open a short time after and he very nearly notched up his second victory of the season last weekend in Turkey, where he finished runner up and picked up over half a million Euro’s for his troubles. He arrives here full of confidence and can make his presence felt on his Nedbank debut.
Sticking to the South African theme this week, a native that looks a ridiculous price if he finds anywhere close to his best form is Brandon Stone, 250/1 looks insane. Both of his European Tour victories to date have come here on home soil; the Alfred Dunhill Championship and BMW South African Open. Returning home might reignite his fire. He tends to play his good golf this time of year, he is long and straight off the tee and at the prices he has to be worth a small play!