Sony Open Betting Tips & Predictions 2017
The PGA Tour remains in the stunning Hawaii for the second event of the year, one that was won by Argentinian Fabian Gomez last year and he is 100/1 to defend his title. Located on the island of Oahu, Waialae Country Club offers a spectacular setting and guaranteed low scoring for these hardened tour professionals.
The course is just over 7,000 yards in length which will certainly suit the shorter hitters who will find this Par 70 track very manageable. Jimmy Walker won this event twice in the last three years and he was in contention early in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions last week so he is likely to be a popular pick this week at 22/1. Read on for our expert analysis and three value picks for the tournament this week.
Jordan Spieth will be bidding to recapture his 2015 form in 2017 as he looks to put a topsy-turvy 2016 behind him. He was not at his proverbial best in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions last week but he still managed to finish T3 which just shows what a class act he is.
The short island hop to Oahu means he can hit the practise range and golf course ahead of some of his competitors this week. He was very happy with his wedge game last week and with this course being quite a bit shorter than Kapalua, his short game should see him get his head in front this week.
He actually had more birdies (26) than the eventual winner Justin Thomas (25) last week but two double bogeys and a triple took it’s toll on his four round total. If he keeps the silly mistakes away this week, he will win.
Spieth quotes after Kapalua: “When those birdies and eagles are there, that’s a huge confidence boost. That means I’m able to convert, and the other stuff is actually easier to get rid of. The big numbers are easier to dial back, just be a little bit more consistent, versus if I had made 18 birdies, then I’m trying to figure out how to convert more. I’m glad that I’m playing next week. It’s going to be I think a good week for us.” He is clearly brimming with confidence this week so the 7/1 could look generous with 7 places on offer.
Considering Russell Knox was one of just a couple of players to win more than once on the PGA Tour last season, he looks drastically overpriced this week which is great for us. The 31 year old from Scotland is going from strength to strength each season and to the surprise of many was snubbed for the Ryder Cup last year.
He’s not massive long off the tee so he played well to finish midfield at Kapalua last week, a course that demands a big drive. His course form this week has to be a concern, of that there is no doubt. Four missed cuts from five events may make heads scratch as to why he is a selection this week but his game is in a different place right now. He was 13th here two years ago which gives us hope that he can build on that effort.
This course demands not a bomber but someone who is straight and accurate off the tee and someone with a high GIR% and he ticks those boxes. Knox quoted: “I love it here. On paper it should fit my game nicely, and last three years it’s not, so I’ve just stayed positive. I’ve just actually played pretty good the last three years, I’ve just had a couple horrible moments that cost me, but just kept doing the same thing this year and made a few putts.”
Last year, a terrible first round cost him a cut even though he played incredibly well on Day 2 to shoot a 65. He can clearly score on this course, he just needs a bit of luck and fingers crossed it is this week.
This is a young Australian golfer with a very bright future ahead of him and he has to be our longshot value of the week this weekend. Just 23 years of age, he is now ranked 115th in the world but we expect him to improve massively on that this coming season.
He has started the wraparound season in taking fashion, T42 in Mayakoba (-8), T10 in the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open (-14), T11 in the Sanderson Farms Championship (-12) and T35 in the Safeway Open (-8).
It may be nothing spectacular but his four round totals suggest he is making plenty of birdies and he is comfortably making the cut. This is his second time at the Sony Open so he should be more familiar with the circuit now.
He grew up in Brisbane so will be well used to hot coastal temperatures and high winds by the Gold Coast so he should feel right at home in Oahu. It is a speculative punt but we think he is a lad with a lot of ability and let’s hope he proves us right this week.