Gameweek 12 of the Premier League season approaches, and with Christmas adverts already showing up on our screens the excitement over the plethora of football during the festive season is already starting to creep into our minds. There’s another international break to get through first, but we can look forward to a mouth watering bunch of fixtures this weekend.
It starts with Brighton’s trip to Wales on Saturday afternoon and builds to the climax of the Manchester derby on Sunday afternoon, but all we’re looking at here are the corners and card counts. The corners and cards markets are often overlooked, with the large amount of research needed putting potential bettors off. However, we’ve done all the research for you and gladly bring you the very best value to be had in the Premier League corners and cards markets.
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Cardiff vs Brighton
First on the agenda is a trip to South Wales as prime relegation candidates Cardiff look for a morale boosting win over Brighton on Saturday, and with Brighton in the mix we’re expecting this to be a fiery occasion. The Seagulls have seen an average of 3.73 cards per game in the Premier League this season, although Cardiff have a similar return of 3.45 cards per game. When at home this rises to a hefty 4.67 cards per game, and all 4 of their home games against bottom 14 clubs have seen 3 or more cards in total. Brighton have seen the same occur in 3 of their 4 away games against bottom 14 clubs, so backing Over 3.5 Cards at 5/6 looks a good choice here.
There’s more value to be had in the cards market though. The Bluebirds have seen their opposition carded 16 times at the Cardiff City Stadium this season, with they themselves only picking up 12. Meanwhile, Brighton have gotten into trouble 12 times in 4 away matches and only seen their hosts carded 5 times. In all games this season The Seagulls have picked up 15 more cards than the teams they have played against and 11 more cards than Cardiff, so we’re also backing a Brighton 0 Card Handicap at 11/10.
Southampton vs Watford
Southampton may not have results going their way, but where the corner count is concerned they have picked up right where they left off last season. The Saints have averaged 6.5 corners per game when at home against bottom 14 sides, and they have won 6 or more corners in 3 of these 4 matches. Last season they averaged 7.92 corners per game in these home games against sides outside the top 6, a tally that only Chelsea could beat. They face a Watford side who have conceded an average of 6.18 corners per game this season, with that rising to 7.25 per game when away from home against clubs outside the big six. 3 of these 4 away games have seen them concede 6 corners or more, so we like the look of Southampton Over 5.5 Team Corners at 4/5.
Huddersfield vs West Ham
It’s no secret that West Ham aren’t exactly the most well disciplined of teams. They have picked up 29 cards already this season, a Premier League high, and they have found themselves carded more than once in 9 of their 11 league games. This includes all 3 away games against bottom 14 opposition, and they’re facing a Huddersfield side who have seen their visitors carded 2 or more times in 4 of their 6 home games this season. After picking up 15 cards in 5 away games, we think backing West Ham Over 1.5 Team Cards at 4/6 is a great value offering.
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham Hotspur
Tottenham are looking for yet another London derby win this weekend, and while these can often be hot tempered affairs we’re not expecting that from this game. Spurs’ matches this season have averaged just 3.18 cards per game, and only 3 of their 8 matches against bottom 14 opposition have seen 4 or more cards shown. Crystal Palace have seen even less telling-offs though, with only 3 of their 11 matches seeing 4 or more cards dished out and none of their 3 games against big six opposition. For this reason, odds of 1/1 for Under 3.5 Cards look attractive.
Liverpool vs Fulham
Liverpool are known for many things – From their blisteringly fast counter attacks to their dazzling trio of star forwards up front. However, winning corners certainly isn’t one of them. Jurgen Klopp’s men average just 5.36 corners per game in the Premier League, and they have only won 8 or more corners on 3 occasions this season. Fulham may be a defensive catastrophe, but they have only conceded 8 or more corners 3 times this season as well, so on the basis of that we think Liverpool Under 7.5 Team Corners looks a solid bet at 11/10.
Chelsea vs Everton
Chelsea are another of the big clubs who tend to shy away from the corner flag. They have only won 7 or more corners in 3 of their 11 league games this season, with just 1 of those coming in their 6 games at Stamford Bridge. The Blues have averaged a modest 5.82 corners per game when playing Maurizio Sarri’s possession based football, and they’re facing an Everton side who have only conceded 7 or more corners once this season. The Toffees only conceded more than 6 corners in 2 of their 6 away days against big six clubs last season too, so odds of 1/1 for Chelsea Under 6.5 Team Corners look exceptionally good value.
Arsenal vs Wolves
We end our weekend of corners and cards betting at the Emirates, where the newly promoted Wolves look to get back on track against the in form Gunners. They could well be overwhelmed at the back against Arsenal, but their corner tally is expected to stay competitive. Arsenal have conceded 15 more corners than they have won this season, and have even conceded 1 more corner than they have won when playing against bottom 14 opposition. Meanwhile, Wolves have won an impressive 67 corners this term and only conceded 43, and this includes just a single corner deficit across all 3 of their meetings with big six opposition. They have won 13 more corners than they have conceded away from home, so we’re going for a Wolves +1.5 Asian Corners bet here at 1.975.
It’s clear that Arsenal aren’t the best when it comes to corners, and their record doesn’t look any better in the cards department either. The Gunners have averaged 1.6 cards per game this season, and that rises to 1.67 per game at the Emirates and 1.75 per game when hosting teams outside of the big six. Unai Emery’s side have been carded 2 or more times in 7 of their 11 league matches and in 3 of their 4 home games against bottom 14 sides, and they’re facing a Wolves side who have seen their opposition get into trouble 2.18 times per match this season. This rises to 2.4 opposition cards per game when on the road, and they have seen their opponents get into trouble with the referee more than once in 7 of their 11 matches. This includes 4 of their 5 away matches too, so we’re ending the weekend with a bet of Arsenal Over 1.5 Team Cards at 11/10.
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