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27th Oct 2018
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England League One | Kingsmeadow | 27th October
AFC Wimbledon badge
AFC Wimbledon
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
KO 15:00
Luton badge
Luton
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

AFC Wimbledon vs Luton predictions for Saturday’s League One fixture at Kingsmeadow. After another disappointing result in the week, the Dons will be hoping to finally regain the winning thread. Continue reading below for all our free tips and predictions.

AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Both Teams To Score @ 10/11

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Draw 1-1 @ 11/2

Reason For AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Betting Tips

After five defeats on the spin, Wimbledon find themselves in trouble, though they’ve not been overly poor during that time. It’s fair to say that luck hasn’t gone their way, but they’ve also struggled thanks to a lack of end-product, which is something that they’ll be hoping to address when welcoming an in-form Luton side to Kingsmeadow on Saturday afternoon.

On the balance of play, Wimbledon were very, very unlucky to lose in Bristol on Tuesday evening, as they outplayed their hosts. Ardley’s men created the better scoring opportunities, though they simply couldn’t get the ball in the net. From a performance point of view, it’s easy to feel upbeat about what the Dons did in that game, while they’ve often played well at home, but their lack of end-product does not bode well ahead of a match against a very strong Luton side.

On paper, it looks like Wimbledon have played terribly at Kingsmeadow this season. They’ve accumulated just four points, have scored seven and have conceded 12. However, as the underlying stats suggests, they’ve not been as poor as the bare figures would have us believe. They’re averaging a respectable 1.54 expected goals going forward, while they’re conceding 1.37 at the other end. Those stats aren’t amazing, but they do support the notion that the Dons have been unfortunate.

As for Luton, well, the Hatters have looked useful on their travels of late, though they’ve not always been at their best when playing away from the comforts of home. Nathan Jones’ men have won just one of their seven away games, while they’ve kept just one clean sheet on the road, so there’s certainly hope for the hosts.

From a performance point of view, Luton have done slightly better on their travels than the bare figures let on, though they’ve not done well enough to suggest that they’ll win this match easily.

When it comes to getting forward and making things happen, Luton have usually been effective on the road; they’ve scored in five of their seven away games, while they’ve notched four in their last two. An average of 1.6 expected goals for also tells us that they’ve got what it takes to make their presence felt in the final third, though their defensive efforts have been far from flawless. They’ve kept just one clean sheet, while they’re also giving away an average of 1.34 expected goals.

If we consider both the home performances of Wimbledon and the away performances of Luton, then it’s easy to conclude that the visitors are a tad short in the betting. At the prices, the bet that stands out is ‘Both Teams to Score’. Wimbledon are due a goal, while they’ve usually done enough to get one at home, while Luton have made light work of scoring in recent times, even on their travels.

AFC Wimbledon Team News

AFC Wimbledon Team Badge Wimbledon's only absentee will be Terell Thomas, who is still sidelined by injury. Joe Piggot has made the bench in recent weeks, but he could now be handed a start after recovering from a knock.

Luton Team News

Luton Team Badge Luke Berry is nearing a return, though this fixture is expected to come too soon. Manager Nathan Jones is unlikely to make changes after Tuesday's excellent win.

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Article by: Bradley G
Contact: [email protected]
Twitter: @BGibbs92
Published: October 27, 2018

Our match preview predictions are fully researched and provided in good faith but no profits are guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly, you should only ever gamble with money you can afford to lose. Visit our responsible gambling guidelines for more information. 18+

Form Summary

AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
Overall
PWDL
153210
Home
7115
Away
8215
Overall
PWDL
15744
Home
8620
Away
7124

Recent Competition Form

AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
2-0 v Bristol Rovers (A)
L
4-1 v Accrington Stanley (H)
W
2-0 v Blackpool (A)
L
2-0 v Walsall (H)
W
1-2 v Portsmouth (H)
L
3-2 v Barnsley (A)
L
1-0 v Plymouth Argyle (A)
L
3-2 v Scunthorpe United (H)
W
0-1 v Bradford City (H)
L
1-2 v Oxford United (A)
W
2-1 v Oxford United (H)
W
2-2 v Charlton Athletic (H)
D
3Goals Scored15
9Goals Conceded9
2/6 (33%)Over 2.5 Goals5/6 (83%)
2/6 (33%)Both Teams Scored5/6 (83%)
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League Table

PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Portsmouth1510412613+1334
2Peterborough United159333120+1130
3Sunderland148512713+1429
4Accrington Stanley157531917+226
5Barnsley147432714+1325
6Luton Town157442519+625
7Doncaster Rovers157442420+425
8Coventry City157351716+124
9Southend United157262118+323
10Blackpool13571159+622
11Charlton Athletic146442219+322
12Walsall146441517-222
13Fleetwood Town155552114+720
14Wycombe Wanderers154652021-118
15Burton Albion145361819-118
16Scunthorpe United154562230-817
17Rochdale154472131-1016
18Shrewsbury Town153661416-215
19Bristol Rovers153571113-214
20Gillingham143381928-912
21Oxford United152581424-1011
22AFC Wimbledon1532101022-1211
23Plymouth Argyle152491426-1210
24Bradford City1531111226-1410
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Luton Town8620188+1020
2Portsmouth8431148+615
3Blackpool8431127+515
4Charlton Athletic8422118+314
5Burton Albion741295+413
6Sunderland6330136+712
7Barnsley6330115+612
8Wycombe Wanderers8332129+312
9Shrewsbury Town833297+212
9Accrington Stanley733197+212
10Doncaster Rovers83321010012
11Peterborough United83231012-211
12Southend United83141210+210
13Coventry City731355010
14Fleetwood Town7232910-19
15Scunthorpe United72321216-49
16Bristol Rovers82247708
17Walsall622257-28
18Plymouth Argyle82241115-48
19Oxford United72051012-26
20AFC Wimbledon7115712-54
21Gillingham6114713-64
22Rochdale7115816-84
23Bradford City8116514-94
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Peterborough United7610218+1319
2Portsmouth7610125+719
3Sunderland8521147+717
4Coventry City84221211+114
5Accrington Stanley84221010014
5Walsall84221010014
6Barnsley8413169+713
7Doncaster Rovers74121410+413
8Southend United741298+113
9Rochdale83321315-212
10Fleetwood Town8323124+811
11Charlton Athletic6222111108
12Gillingham82241215-38
13Scunthorpe United82241014-48
14Blackpool514032+17
15AFC Wimbledon8215310-77
16Bristol Rovers713346-26
17Wycombe Wanderers7133812-46
18Bradford City7205712-56
19Luton Town7124711-45
20Burton Albion7124914-55
21Oxford United8053412-85
22Shrewsbury Town703459-43
23Plymouth Argyle7025311-82

Scores Vs Opponents

PosTeamHomeAway
1Portsmouth1-21st Jan
2Peterborough United12th Mar27th Nov
3Sunderland1-22nd Feb
4Accrington Stanley6th Apr2-1
5Barnsley19th Jan0-0
6Luton Town27th Oct22nd Apr
7Doncaster Rovers9th Mar17th Nov
8Coventry City0-012th Jan
9Southend United24th Nov16th Mar
10Blackpool29th Dec2-0
11Charlton Athletic23rd Feb15th Dec
12Walsall1-326th Jan
13Fleetwood Town5th Jan0-1
14Wycombe Wanderers27th Apr22nd Dec
15Burton Albion9th Feb3-0
16Scunthorpe United2-330th Mar
17Rochdale8th Dec16th Feb
18Shrewsbury Town3rd Nov2nd Mar
19Bristol Rovers19th Apr2-0
20Gillingham23rd Mar0-1
21Oxford United2-113th Apr
22AFC WimbledonN/AN/A
23Plymouth Argyle26th Dec1-0
24Bradford City0-14th May
PosTeamHomeAway
1Portsmouth5th Jan1-0
2Peterborough United19th Jan3-1
3Sunderland1-112th Jan
4Accrington Stanley4-119th Apr
5Barnsley1st Jan3-2
6Luton TownN/AN/A
7Doncaster Rovers23rd Mar2-1
8Coventry City23rd Feb15th Dec
9Southend United2-026th Jan
10Blackpool6th Apr0-0
11Charlton Athletic2-213th Apr
12Walsall2-029th Dec
13Fleetwood Town8th Dec16th Feb
14Wycombe Wanderers9th Feb1-1
15Burton Albion22nd Dec27th Apr
16Scunthorpe United3-226th Dec
17Rochdale2nd Mar3rd Nov
18Shrewsbury Town3-22nd Feb
19Bristol Rovers1-030th Mar
20Gillingham16th Mar24th Nov
21Oxford United4th May1-2
22AFC Wimbledon22nd Apr27th Oct
23Plymouth Argyle17th Nov9th Mar
24Bradford City27th Nov12th Mar
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AFC Wimbledon vs Luton Stats

  • Wimbledon have conceded an average of 1.37 expected goals at home this season, while Luton have conceded an average of 1.34.
  • Luton have kept just a single clean sheet on their travels this season, while Wimbledon have kept just one on home soil.
  • Luton have averaged 1.6 expected goals for on their travels, while Wimbledon have averaged 1.54 at home.

How we calculate our stats

Our stats are based on games this season. Games played this season: 30
(15 by AFC Wimbledon) and (15 by Luton)

Goals

AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
40%
BTTS (%)
67%
87%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
93%
60%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
80%
47%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
53%
13%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
40%
0.67
Average Goals For
1.67
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
27%
Cleansheet (%)
27%
47%
Failed to Score (%)
13%
AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
71%
BTTS (%)
63%
86%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
71%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
88%
71%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
50%
29%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
50%
1
Average Goals For
2.25
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1
14%
Cleansheet (%)
38%
29%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
13%
BTTS (%)
71%
88%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
86%
50%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
71%
25%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
57%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
29%
0.38
Average Goals For
1
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
38%
Cleansheet (%)
14%
63%
Failed to Score (%)
29%
AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
50%
BTTS (%)
60%
80%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
90%
60%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
70%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
40%
20%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
30%
0.9
Average Goals For
1.2
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
40%
Cleansheet (%)
30%
30%
Failed to Score (%)
20%
AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
40%
BTTS (%)
60%
60%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
40%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
80%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
40%
20%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
40%
0.6
Average Goals For
1.4
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
60%
Cleansheet (%)
20%
40%
Failed to Score (%)
20%
AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
80%
BTTS (%)
60%
80%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
80%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
80%
80%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
40%
40%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
40%
1.2
Average Goals For
1.8
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1
20%
Cleansheet (%)
40%
20%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
20%
BTTS (%)
60%
80%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
80%
40%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
60%
40%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
40%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
20%
0.6
Average Goals For
0.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
60%
Cleansheet (%)
20%
40%
Failed to Score (%)
40%

Goalscorers

AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
Top Goalscorers
Joe Pigott
4
5
Danny Hylton
Kwesi Appiah
2
4
Elliot Lee
James Hanson
1
2
Jorge Grant
First Goalscorers
Joe Pigott
3
1
Elliot Lee

Cards & Corners

AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
1
Average Cards For
2
Player Cards
Ben Purrington
3
3
Alan McCormack
Tom Soares
3
3
Dan Potts
Liam Trotter
3
3
Glen Rea
6
Average Corners For
7
5
Average Corners Against
5

Goal Margins

AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge
Total1234+
W3000
L6301
Total1234+
W4201
L3100
Home1234+
W1000
L4100
Home1234+
W3201
L0000
Away1234+
W2000
L2201
Away1234+
W1000
L3100

Goal Timings

AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge

First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge

Home First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Home Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
AFC Wimbledon badge Luton badge

Away First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Away Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Free Bets & Offers
BookieHome WinDrawAway WinOffer
14/5 5/2 19/20
11/4 12/5 1/1
13/5 12/5 1/1
13/5 5/2 1/1
13/5 12/5 1/1
13/5 5/2 21/20
BookieYesNoOffer
10/11 10/11
17/20 17/20
20/23 9/10
17/20 17/20
17/20 17/20
5/6 22/25
BookieHome & YesAway & YesOffer
13/2 10/3
6/1 100/30
6/1 7/2
6/1 3/1
6/1 7/2
6/1 7/2
BookieUnder 0.5Over 0.5Under 1.5Over 1.5Under 2.5Over 2.5Under 3.5Over 3.5Under 4.5Over 4.5Under 5.5Over 5.5Under 6.5Over 6.5Under 7.5Over 7.5Under 8.5Over 8.5Under 9.5Over 9.5Offer
17/2 1/14 9/4 1/3 3/4 21/20 1/4 11/4 1/12 7/1 1/40 16/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
7/1 1/20 2/1 1/3 8/11 1/1 2/7 12/5 1/11 5/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
7/1 1/20 11/5 3/10 13/20 11/10 2/9 14/5 1/20 7/1 1/200 16/1 1/1000 33/1 1/1000 80/1 1/1000 100/1 1/1000 100/1
7/1 1/16 9/4 1/3 7/10 21/20 1/4 11/4 1/12 6/1 1/50 12/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
7/1 1/20 11/5 3/10 13/20 11/10 2/9 14/5 1/20 7/1 1/200 16/1 1/1000 33/1 1/1000 80/1 1/1000 100/1 1/1000 100/1
9/1 1/20 47/20 3/10 8/11 1/1 1/4 11/4 1/14 7/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
AFC Wimbledon badge
0
Luton badge
0
BookieOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOffer
9/1 18/1 12/1 40/1 33/1 40/1 100/1 80/1 100/1 150/1 450/1 300/1 400/1 500/1 17/2 11/2 14/1 50/1 400/1 6/1 8/1 15/2 16/1 16/1 28/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 125/1 80/1 80/1 125/1 350/1 250/1 250/1 450/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
8/1 14/1 11/1 40/1 25/1 28/1 100/1 80/1 80/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A 8/1 11/2 14/1 50/1 N/A 11/2 8/1 15/2 14/1 12/1 22/1 33/1 28/1 50/1 100/1 80/1 80/1 125/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
9/1 14/1 11/1 40/1 25/1 40/1 125/1 80/1 125/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 15/2 5/1 13/1 70/1 200/1 6/1 17/2 15/2 14/1 14/1 25/1 45/1 40/1 66/1 150/1 125/1 125/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 N/A N/AN/A
17/2 16/1 11/1 40/1 28/1 35/1 90/1 70/1 80/1 100/1 125/1 125/1 125/1 N/A 8/1 5/1 14/1 60/1 125/1 11/2 8/1 15/2 16/1 16/1 28/1 40/1 35/1 60/1 100/1 80/1 80/1 100/1 N/A 125/1 125/1 125/1 N/A 150/1 150/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 150/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A 1/111 150/1N/A
17/2 16/1 10/1 40/1 25/1 40/1 150/1 90/1 150/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 15/2 5/1 12/1 70/1 200/1 6/1 17/2 15/2 17/1 16/1 25/1 45/1 45/1 70/1 175/1 150/1 150/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 N/A N/AN/A
17/2 15/1 21/2 35/1 25/1 33/1 100/1 75/1 100/1 180/1 1.00 275/1 1.00 N/A 17/2 11/2 14/1 60/1 300/1 6/1 8/1 15/2 15/1 15/1 25/1 35/1 34/1 60/1 130/1 90/1 90/1 160/1 N/A 300/1 300/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
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7/1 2/7 16/1 1/16 13/5 17/20 7/1 1/4 14/1 1/16 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
15/2 2/7 16/1 1/16 14/5 3/4 15/2 1/4 14/1 1/16 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A N/A N/A 16/5 4/6 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
7/1 2/9 18/1 1/33 11/4 7/10 15/2 1/5 16/1 1/33 28/1 1/150 35/1 1/500 35/1 1/5000 28/1 1/150 35/1 1/500
N/A N/A N/A N/A 16/5 4/6 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
7/1 2/9 22/1 1/20 14/5 7/10 8/1 2/11 22/1 1/25 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
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