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UEFA Champions League | Johan Cruijff Arena | 13th February
BT Sport 3
Ajax badge
Ajax
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
KO 20:00
Real Madrid badge
Real Madrid
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Ajax vs Real Madrid predictions for Wednesday’s Champions League clash at the Johan Cruyff Arena. Ajax face the tough challenge of trying to stop the best side in Champions League history when they face Real Madrid on Wednesday. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Ajax vs Real Madrid Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Over 3.5 Match Goals @ 11/8

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Draw 2-2 @ 10/1

Reason For Ajax vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

After being drawn in a group alongside Bayern Munich and Benfica, Ajax weren’t exactly the favourites to make it through to the knockout stages earlier this season. However, after kicking off the campaign with a 3-0 win over AEK Athens and following that with a draw away to Bayern Munich, confidence continued to grow in the Johan Cruyff Arena.

Ajax ended the group stages as 1 of only 5 teams to remain unbeaten throughout, and they only finished 2 points behind Bundesliga giants Bayern Munich in the end. The result of this 2 point gap has been an incredibly tough draw against Real Madrid, although Bayern Munich’s top of the group finish did set up an equally tough clash with Liverpool.

The hosts have fallen on some tough times in recent weeks, including a 6-2 thrashing against old rivals Feyenoord at the end of January. Their most recent failure was a loss at Heracles on Saturday, but they will be relying on their historically excellent home form to give them confidence. Ajax haven’t been beaten on home soil since November 2017, and they have lost just 1 of their last 21 European home games.

This is Real Madrid we’re talking about though. Los Blancos picked up yet another Champions League trophy last season, and while they suffered a very difficult patch earlier in the season, it seems that Santiago Solari has righted the ship. Solari took charge after a run of 4 defeats in Real Madrid’s previous 5 games, but since then they have lost just 4 times in 25 competitive games.

The visitors 3-1 win over arch rivals Atletico MAdrid on Saturday made it 7 games unbeaten in all competitions, and 6 of these have ended in victory. They have scored 20 goals in these 7 matches, meaning we can be hopeful of a high scoring match on Wednesday.

In fact, 5 of Real Madrid’s last 8 competitive away games have seen at least 4 goals scored. This is an impressive record, but Ajax take that even further, with at least 4 goals in each of their last 6 competitive home matches.

There has been an almost unbelievable average of 6.33 goals per game in this period, and combining that with Real Madrid’s high scoring ways, we think a bet of Over 3.5 Goals is a good option here. Given that Ajax held Bayern Munich to stalemates both home and away earlier this season, we also fancy a 2-2 correct score prediction.

Ajax Team News

Ajax Team Badge Goalkeeper Bruno Varela, defender Lisandro Magallan, and midfielder Carel Eiting are all expected to miss out for jax.

Real Madrid Team News

Real Madrid Team Badge Real Madrid could be without Isco and Marcos Llorente on Wednesday.

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Today's Tips

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Article by: Alex W
Contact: [email protected]
Twitter: @Wrig90
Published: February 11, 2019

Our match preview predictions are fully researched and provided in good faith but no profits are guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly, you should only ever gamble with money you can afford to lose. Visit our responsible gambling guidelines for more information. 18+

Form Summary

Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
Overall
PWDL
6330
Home
3210
Away
3120
Overall
PWDL
6402
Home
3201
Away
3201

Recent Competition Form

Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
3-3 v FC Bayern München (H)
D
0-3 v CSKA Moscow (H)
L
0-2 v AEK Athens (A)
W
0-2 v Roma (A)
W
1-1 v Benfica (A)
D
0-5 v Viktoria Plzen (A)
W
1-0 v Benfica (H)
W
2-1 v Viktoria Plzen (H)
W
1-1 v FC Bayern München (A)
D
1-0 v CSKA Moscow (A)
L
3-0 v AEK Athens (H)
W
3-0 v Roma (H)
W
11Goals Scored12
5Goals Conceded5
2/6 (33%)Over 2.5 Goals4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)Both Teams Scored1/6 (17%)
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
3-3 v FC Bayern München (H)
D
0-3 v CSKA Moscow (H)
L
1-0 v Benfica (H)
W
2-1 v Viktoria Plzen (H)
W
3-0 v AEK Athens (H)
W
3-0 v Roma (H)
W
7Goals Scored5
3Goals Conceded4
2/3 (67%)Over 2.5 Goals3/3 (100%)
1/3 (33%)Both Teams Scored1/3 (33%)
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
0-2 v AEK Athens (A)
W
0-2 v Roma (A)
W
1-1 v Benfica (A)
D
0-5 v Viktoria Plzen (A)
W
1-1 v FC Bayern München (A)
D
1-0 v CSKA Moscow (A)
L
4Goals Scored7
2Goals Conceded1
0/3 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals1/3 (33%)
2/3 (67%)Both Teams Scored0/3 (0%)
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
3-3 v FC Bayern München (H)
D
0-3 v CSKA Moscow (H)
L
0-2 v AEK Athens (A)
W
0-2 v Roma (A)
W
1-1 v Benfica (A)
D
0-5 v Viktoria Plzen (A)
W
1-0 v Benfica (H)
W
2-1 v Viktoria Plzen (H)
W
1-1 v FC Bayern München (A)
D
1-0 v CSKA Moscow (A)
L
8Goals Scored9
5Goals Conceded5
1/5 (20%)Over 2.5 Goals3/5 (60%)
3/5 (60%)Both Teams Scored1/5 (20%)
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Free Bets & Offers

Head To Head

Ajax badge
WonDrawnWon
206
Real Madrid badge
5
Goals Scored
20
Over 2.5 Goals 5/8 (63%)
Both Teams To Score 2/8 (25%)
Previous Meetings (Last 8)
04.12.12 Real Madrid Real Madrid badge 4-1 Ajax badge Ajax
03.10.12 Ajax Ajax badge 1-4 Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
07.12.11 Ajax Ajax badge 0-3 Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
27.09.11 Real Madrid Real Madrid badge 3-0 Ajax badge Ajax
23.11.10 Ajax Ajax badge 0-4 Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
15.09.10 Real Madrid Real Madrid badge 2-0 Ajax badge Ajax
22.11.95 Real Madrid Real Madrid badge 0-2 Ajax badge Ajax
13.09.95 Ajax Ajax badge 1-0 Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
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Ajax vs Real Madrid Stats

  • Ajax have lost their last six games in European competition against Real Madrid, scoring only two goals and conceding 20. Ajax’s last victory against the Merengues dates back to November 1995, a 2-0 Champions League group stage victory at the Bernabeu with goals from Jari Litmanen and Patrick Kluivert.
  • There’s only ever been one draw between Ajax and Real Madrid – it came in their first ever competitive encounter, a European Cup first round match in Amsterdam back in 1967/68 which ended 1-1. The opening goal of the game was scored by Johan Cruyff.
  • Ajax were one of five teams to remain unbeaten in this season’s Champions League group stages, along with Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Lyon and Porto.
  • Ajax have lost just one of their last 21 European home matches (W13 D7), winning five of their six matches at the Johan Cruyff Arena so far in 2018/19, qualifiers included.
  • 10 of Ajax’s 11 goals in this season’s Champions League have been scored in the second-half (91%). Meanwhile, 80% of goals conceded by the Dutch side have come from set-piece (4 out of 5).
  • It’s been 22 years since Ajax progressed through a Champions League knockout stage – it was in the 1996/97 campaign when the Dutch side overcame Atlético Madrid in the quarter-finals before being eliminated by Juventus in the semi-finals.
  • Real Madrid have won the Champions League four times in the last five seasons. In fact, Juventus were the last team to eliminate Real in a Champions League knockout phase, back in the 2014/15 semi-finals.
  • Real Madrid have reached the Champions League knockout stages for the 22nd consecutive season, a record run in the history of the competition. This includes making it to the semis in each of the last eight campaigns, also a record run.
  • Real Madrid had more shots (120) and touches inside the opposition box (237) than any other team in this season’s Champions League group stages.
  • Dusan Tadic has scored five of Ajax’s last six goals in the Champions League. He has the best conversion rate of any player with at least five goals in this season’s competition, finding the net with 45% of his shots (5 out of 11).
  • Gareth Bale has scored five goals in his last six Champions League games, that’s as many as in his previous 32 appearances in the competition. However, he’s found the net in only two of his last 23 knockout games, both times in the final (2014 and 2018).

How we calculate our stats

Our stats are based on games this season. Games played this season: 12
(6 by Ajax) and (6 by Real Madrid)

Goals

Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
50%
BTTS (%)
17%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
83%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
83%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
67%
17%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
17%
1.83
Average Goals For
2
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
50%
Cleansheet (%)
50%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
33%
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
33%
BTTS (%)
33%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
67%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
100%
67%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
100%
33%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
2.33
Average Goals For
1.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
67%
Cleansheet (%)
33%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
33%
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
67%
BTTS (%)
0%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
100%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
67%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
33%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
33%
1.33
Average Goals For
2.33
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
33%
Cleansheet (%)
67%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
33%
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
40%
BTTS (%)
20%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
80%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
80%
20%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
60%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
20%
1.6
Average Goals For
2.4
0.4
Average Goals Conceded
0.4
60%
Cleansheet (%)
60%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
20%
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%

Goalscorers

Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
Top Goalscorers
Dusan Tadic
5
3
Karim Benzema
Nicolás Tagliafico
3
3
Gareth Bale
Noussair Mazraoui
2
1
Casemiro
First Goalscorers
Nicolás Tagliafico
1
2
Karim Benzema
Noussair Mazraoui
1
1
Gareth Bale
Dusan Tadic
1
1
Isco

Cards & Corners

Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
3
Average Cards For
1
Player Cards
Nicolás Tagliafico
4
2
Sergio Ramos
Noussair Mazraoui
2
1
Raphael Varane
Donny van de Beek
2
1
Luka Modric
5
Average Corners For
10
4
Average Corners Against
6

Goal Margins

Ajax badge Real Madrid badge
Total1234+
W1101
L0000
Total1234+
W1102
L1001
Home1234+
W1001
L0000
Home1234+
W1001
L0001
Away1234+
W0100
L0000
Away1234+
W0101
L1000

Goal Timings

Ajax badge Real Madrid badge

First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge

Home First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Home Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Ajax badge Real Madrid badge

Away First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Away Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Free Bets & Offers
BookieHome WinDrawAway WinOffer
23/10 27/10 6/5
12/5 11/4 11/10
12/5 27/10 6/5
11/5 14/5 23/20
12/5 5/2 17/20
21/10 27/10 11/10
23/10 13/5 11/10
12/5 13/5 6/5
BookieYesNoOffer
4/9 13/8
9/20 17/10
2/5 15/8
4/9 7/4
1/2 6/4
4/9 7/4
2/5 15/8
4/11 39/20
BookieHome & YesAway & YesOffer
4/1 12/5
4/1 23/10
7/2 12/5
15/4 23/10
4/1 11/5
15/4 23/10
7/2 23/10
19/5 47/20
BookieUnder 0.5Over 0.5Under 1.5Over 1.5Under 2.5Over 2.5Under 3.5Over 3.5Under 4.5Over 4.5Under 5.5Over 5.5Under 6.5Over 6.5Under 7.5Over 7.5Under 8.5Over 8.5Under 9.5Over 9.5Offer
18/1 1/50 9/2 1/7 13/8 1/2 4/6 6/5 2/7 11/4 1/9 11/2 1/25 12/1 1/100 25/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A 17/4 2/13 8/5 19/40 4/6 6/5 2/7 13/5 1/10 11/2 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
20/1 1/50 5/1 2/13 7/4 1/2 7/10 5/4 2/7 3/1 1/9 13/2 1/50 18/1 1/200 33/1 1/750 66/1 1/1000 100/1
18/1 1/33 9/2 2/13 31/20 1/2 8/13 6/5 1/4 11/4 1/10 6/1 1/28 14/1 1/80 33/1 1/500 80/1 N/A N/A
12/1 1/50 7/2 1/6 11/8 8/15 8/15 11/8 2/9 3/1 1/12 6/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
18/1 1/33 9/2 2/13 31/20 1/2 8/13 6/5 1/4 11/4 1/10 6/1 1/28 14/1 1/80 33/1 1/500 80/1 N/A N/A
12/1 1/200 9/2 1/9 8/5 4/9 6/10 6/5 2/9 14/5 1/14 6/1 1/200 12/1 1/1000 20/1 1/1000 66/1 1/1000 100/1
19/1 1/50 5/1 1/7 17/10 12/25 4/6 6/5 27/100 29/10 1/10 13/2 1/40 15/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Ajax badge
0
Real Madrid badge
0
BookieOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOffer
16/1 20/1 11/1 40/1 22/1 22/1 66/1 40/1 50/1 66/1 150/1 100/1 100/1 150/1 350/1 18/1 13/2 9/1 28/1 100/1 11/1 12/1 8/1 20/1 14/1 18/1 40/1 28/1 33/1 50/1 66/1 50/1 66/1 100/1 250/1 150/1 125/1 150/1 300/1 350/1 N/A 350/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
12/1 18/1 9/1 28/1 20/1 20/1 80/1 50/1 50/1 66/1 200/1 100/1 100/1 150/1 N/A 16/1 6/1 8/1 22/1 80/1 9/1 10/1 15/2 16/1 11/1 14/1 28/1 22/1 28/1 50/1 80/1 50/1 66/1 100/1 250/1 200/1 100/1 150/1 250/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
13/1 16/1 10/1 30/1 16/1 19/1 80/1 40/1 45/1 75/1 200/1 125/1 125/1 200/1 200/1 14/1 13/2 9/1 22/1 125/1 11/1 12/1 15/2 18/1 12/1 14/1 40/1 25/1 30/1 60/1 100/1 70/1 90/1 150/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 N/A N/AN/A
14/1 20/1 10/1 40/1 22/1 22/1 90/1 55/1 55/1 80/1 200/1 150/1 150/1 200/1 N/A 18/1 13/2 10/1 33/1 125/1 11/1 12/1 8/1 20/1 14/1 16/1 45/1 28/1 40/1 66/1 100/1 70/1 90/1 125/1 200/1 200/1 150/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
14/1 18/1 10/1 35/1 22/1 25/1 70/1 50/1 55/1 70/1 125/1 100/1 100/1 N/A N/A 16/1 6/1 10/1 33/1 90/1 9/1 10/1 15/2 16/1 12/1 18/1 33/1 25/1 35/1 60/1 65/1 55/1 66/1 N/A N/A 100/1 100/1 100/1 N/A 125/1 150/1 125/1 125/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 125/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A 150/1 150/1N/A
14/1 20/1 10/1 40/1 22/1 22/1 90/1 55/1 55/1 80/1 200/1 150/1 150/1 200/1 N/A 18/1 13/2 10/1 33/1 125/1 11/1 12/1 8/1 20/1 14/1 16/1 45/1 28/1 40/1 66/1 100/1 70/1 90/1 125/1 200/1 200/1 150/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
14/1 18/1 10/1 30/1 18/1 20/1 90/1 45/1 50/1 80/1 200/1 150/1 150/1 200/1 200/1 16/1 13/2 9/1 25/1 150/1 10/1 12/1 15/2 20/1 12/1 14/1 40/1 25/1 35/1 60/1 100/1 75/1 100/1 175/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 N/A N/AN/A
14/1 19/1 19/2 35/1 19/1 18/1 80/1 45/1 45/1 60/1 225/1 120/1 120/1 160/1 275/1 15/1 6/1 17/2 24/1 100/1 21/2 12/1 15/2 19/1 12/1 14/1 35/1 25/1 29/1 50/1 90/1 60/1 70/1 110/1 225/1 225/1 160/1 180/1 325/1 500/1 700/1 400/1 400/1 550/1 900/1 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 600/1 650/1 1000/1 750/1 600/1 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1 1000/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
BookieHome -1Away +1Home -2Away +2Home -3Away +3Home -4Away +4Home -5Away +5Away -1Home +1Away -2Home +2Away -3Home +3Away -4Home +4Away -5Home +5Offer
5/1 17/50 11/1 1/11 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 13/5 7/10 6/1 1/4 12/1 1/14 N/A N/A N/A N/A
2/1 4/7 12/1 1/10 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 19/10 8/11 21/10 8/15 12/1 1/12 N/A N/A N/A N/A
5/1 3/10 12/1 1/12 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 11/4