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6th Oct 2018
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Spain La Liga | Estadio de Mendizorroza | 6th October
Alaves badge
Alaves
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
KO 17:30
Real Madrid badge
Real Madrid
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Alaves vs Real Madrid predictions for this Saturday’s game in Spain’s La Liga as Los Blancos head to the Basque Country. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Alaves vs Real Madrid Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Real Madrid to Win and Under 3.5 Match Goals @ 11/8

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Real Madrid 2-1 @ 15/2

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Ibai Gómez To Score Anytime @ 17/4

Reason For Alaves vs Real Madrid Betting Tips

This game is a big one for Real Madrid as they look to put a miserable run of results behind them and head into the international break on something of a high. Barcelona’s slip-ups have ensured their recent dropped points have not been too costly and they still head to Alaves as clear favourites on a ground where their recent record in La Liga is excellent.

Julen Lopetegui is still trying to make his mark on this Real Madrid side. There have been a few encouraging signs and their control of the ball is perhaps better than it was under Zidane. However, Los Blancos come into this having failed to score in over 300 minutes of football, an almost unprecedented run by their standards. The latest setback was a 1-0 defeat in Moscow in the Champions League in midweek but they will still certainly expect to get out of their group.

Alaves meanwhile will be very content with their season so far. They find themselves in 6th place heading into this match-day but they did suffer a setback last weekend, losing 2-1 at Levante. Abelardo is building on the excellent job he did last season when he guided them from what looked to be a certain relegation battle to what was ultimately a very comfortable survival.

However to say Alaves’ current position is a fair reflection of their quality would be a bit of a stretch. In a month or so, it’s far more likely that they will start to settle into the mid to lower reaches of the Primera Division table, as they don’t really have the sort of quality required to maintain a European challenge.

17 years have passed since they even got a result against Los Blancos and despite Real’s poor form, that’s a run that is unlikely to end this weekend. Real aired on the side of caution by leaving Sergio Ramos and Gareth Bale out of the trip to Russia. They are hopeful both will start here and that should make a difference.

While they were admittedly dreadful in the 1st Half at Sevilla, some of their recent performances haven’t been quite as bad as the results suggest. Alaves are no mugs but they’ve only won 3 of their last 8 at home in La Liga and the visitors look capable of taking all the points here. Backing Real Madrid & Under 3.5 Goals appeals, with Los Blancos not quite firing in the final third right now and unlikely to run riot.

Going for Ibai Gomez to score anytime at long odds could be worth a punt though. The Alaves winger has an excellent long-range strike on him and could be a threat here, with Real short on options at left-back. Ibai Gomez has netted 5 times in his last 10 league matches and he has a good record of scoring against Los Blancos too, although mostly from his days as an Athletic player.

Predicted Lineups

Line ups are predicted by our Team News Analysts
Alaves
4-4-2
Real Madrid
4-3-3
Predicted Starting XI's
Alaves
Real Madrid
Fernando Pacheco
Courtois
Martin
Odriozola
Laguardia
Sergio Ramos
Maripan
Varane
Ruben Duarte
Nacho
Ibai Gomez
Modric
Tomas Pina
Casemiro
Manu Garcia
Kroos
Jony
Lucas Vazquez
Ruben Sobrino
Benzema
Guidetti
Marco Asensio
Subs
Alaves
Real Madrid
Adrian Dieguez
Dani Ceballos
Antonio Sivera
Jesus Vallejo
Borja Baston
Llorente
Brasanac
Mariano Diaz
Calleri
Navas
Lupu
Vinicius Junior
Wakaso
Ximo Navarro
Doubtful
Alaves
Real Madrid
Adrian Marin (Injured)
Bale (Injured)
Burgui (Injured)
Twumasi (Injured)
Unavailable
Alaves
Real Madrid
Rodrigo Ely (Injured)
Dani Carvajal (Injured)
Isco (Injured)
Marcelo (Injured)
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Article by: Mark S
Contact: [email protected]
Twitter: @marksoc1
Published: October 5, 2018

Our match preview predictions are fully researched and provided in good faith but no profits are guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly, you should only ever gamble with money you can afford to lose. Visit our responsible gambling guidelines for more information. 18+

Form Summary

Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
Overall
PWDL
8422
Home
4220
Away
4202
Overall
PWDL
8422
Home
4310
Away
4112

Recent Competition Form

Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
2-1 v Levante (A)
L
0-0 v Atlético de Madrid (H)
D
1-1 v Getafe (H)
D
3-0 v Sevilla (A)
L
1-5 v Rayo Vallecano (A)
W
1-0 v Espanyol (H)
W
0-1 v Real Valladolid (A)
W
1-1 v Athletic Club (A)
D
2-1 v Espanyol (H)
W
4-1 v Leganés (H)
W
0-0 v Real Betis (H)
D
1-4 v Girona (A)
W
10Goals Scored10
5Goals Conceded6
3/6 (50%)Over 2.5 Goals3/6 (50%)
4/6 (67%)Both Teams Scored3/6 (50%)
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Head To Head

Alaves badge
WonDrawnWon
019
Real Madrid badge
6
Goals Scored
32
Over 2.5 Goals 9/10 (90%)
Both Teams To Score 5/10 (50%)
Previous Meetings (Last 10)
24.02.18 Real Madrid Real Madrid badge 4-0 Alavés badge Alavés
23.09.17 Alavés Alavés badge 1-2 Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
02.04.17 Real Madrid Real Madrid badge 3-0 Alavés badge Alavés
29.10.16 Alavés Alavés badge 1-4 Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
18.02.06 Real Madrid Real Madrid badge 3-0 Alavés badge Alavés
25.09.05 Alavés Alavés badge 0-3 Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
01.03.03 Alavés Alavés badge 1-5 Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
06.10.02 Real Madrid Real Madrid badge 5-2 Alavés badge Alavés
23.02.02 Real Madrid Real Madrid badge 3-1 Alavés badge Alavés
13.10.01 Alavés Alavés badge 0-0 Real Madrid badge Real Madrid
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League Table

PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Sevilla8512188+1016
2Barcelona8431199+1015
3Atlético de Madrid843194+515
4Real Madrid8422127+514
5Espanyol8422117+414
6Alavés8422118+314
7Real Valladolid833276+112
8Real Betis833256-112
9Real Sociedad83231211+111
10Celta de Vigo82421312+110
11Levante83141214-210
12Eibar8314912-310
13Getafe823367-19
14Valencia CF816167-19
15Girona82331013-39
16Villarreal822467-18
17Athletic Club7142913-47
18Leganés8215712-57
19Rayo Vallecano7124715-85
20Huesca8125718-115
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Espanyol440071+612
2Real Madrid431071+610
3Atlético de Madrid431061+510
4Barcelona4220145+98
5Alavés422042+28
6Sevilla421153+27
7Leganés421154+17
8Real Betis421145-17
9Celta de Vigo413075+26
10Real Valladolid42023306
11Eibar420256-16
12Athletic Club5122610-45
13Valencia CF40403304
14Getafe411223-14
15Levante4112711-44
16Girona5113610-44
17Real Sociedad301235-21
18Huesca301213-21
19Villarreal401314-31
20Rayo Vallecano3012411-71
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Real Sociedad531196+310
2Sevilla4301135+89
3Villarreal421153+27
4Barcelona421154+17
5Levante420253+26
6Alavés420276+16
7Real Valladolid413043+16
8Girona312043+15
9Getafe41214405
10Atlético de Madrid41213305
11Real Betis41211105
12Valencia CF412134-15
13Celta de Vigo411267-14
14Real Madrid411256-14
15Rayo Vallecano411234-14
16Eibar411246-24
17Huesca5113615-94
18Athletic Club20203302
19Espanyol402246-22
20Leganés400428-60

Scores Vs Opponents

PosTeamHomeAway
1Sevilla2nd Dec3rd Apr
2Barcelona24th Apr3-0
3Atlético de Madrid31st Mar9th Dec
4Real Madrid1-03rd Feb
5Espanyol2-114th Apr
6AlavésN/AN/A
7Real Valladolid21st Apr0-1
8Real Betis0-017th Feb
9Real Sociedad5th May22nd Dec
10Celta de Vigo24th Feb19th Oct
11Levante10th Feb2-1
12Eibar10th Mar4th Nov
13Getafe1-120th Jan
14Valencia CF6th Jan12th May
15Girona19th May13th Jan
16Villarreal28th Oct3rd Mar
17Athletic Club16th Dec28th Apr
18Leganés7th Apr25th Nov
19Rayo Vallecano27th Jan1-5
20Huesca11th Nov17th Mar
PosTeamHomeAway
1Sevilla20th Jan3-0
2Barcelona3rd Mar28th Oct
3Atlético de Madrid0-010th Feb
4Real MadridN/AN/A
5Espanyol1-027th Jan
6Alavés3rd Feb1-0
7Real Valladolid3rd Nov10th Mar
8Real Betis19th May13th Jan
9Real Sociedad6th Jan12th May
10Celta de Vigo17th Mar11th Nov
11Levante20th Oct24th Feb
12Eibar7th Apr25th Nov
13Getafe2-024th Apr
14Valencia CF2nd Dec3rd Apr
15Girona17th Feb1-4
16Villarreal5th May22nd Dec
17Athletic Club21st Apr1-1
18Leganés4-114th Apr
19Rayo Vallecano16th Dec28th Apr
20Huesca31st Mar9th Dec
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Alaves vs Real Madrid Stats

 

  • Alaves have alternated between a win and a draw in their last four games in Mendizorrotza in La Liga; they drew 1-1 against Getafe last weekend.
  • Real Madrid have failed to score in their last two league games (D1 L1) and haven’t done so in three consecutive games since May 2002.
  • Alaves have scored with 41.7% of their shots on target in La Liga this season (10 goals from 24 shots on target), the second highest percentage of any team (Sevilla, 47%).
  • Real Madrid are the team with the highest passing accuracy in La Liga this season (90%); Alaves have the second lowest (71.7%) after Getafe (66%).
  • Ibai Gomez has scored three goals against Real Madrid in La Liga, more than against any other team (alongside Girona, Valladolid and Villarreal), with all of them coming as an Athletic player.
  • Real Madrid player Karim Benzema has been involved in five goals in his three league appearances against Alaves (two goals and three assists).
  • Real Madrid player Dani Ceballos recorded his only LaLiga brace in September 2017 against Alaves at Mendizorrotza.
  • Abelardo Fernández, the Alaves boss, is winless in his four league games against Real Madrid as a manager (D1 L3).

How we calculate our stats

Our stats are based on games this season. Games played this season: 14
(7 by Alaves) and (7 by Real Madrid)

Goals

Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
57%
BTTS (%)
43%
86%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
86%
71%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
71%
57%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
43%
14%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
29%
1.43
Average Goals For
1.71
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
29%
Cleansheet (%)
43%
29%
Failed to Score (%)
29%
Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
67%
BTTS (%)
25%
67%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
75%
67%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
50%
33%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
25%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
25%
1
Average Goals For
1.75
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.25
33%
Cleansheet (%)
75%
33%
Failed to Score (%)
25%
Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
50%
BTTS (%)
67%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
75%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
100%
75%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
67%
25%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
33%
1.75
Average Goals For
1.67
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
25%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
25%
Failed to Score (%)
33%
Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
40%
BTTS (%)
60%
80%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
60%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
80%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
40%
20%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
40%
1.6
Average Goals For
2.4
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
40%
Cleansheet (%)
40%
40%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%

Goalscorers

Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
Top Goalscorers
Ibai Gómez
3
4
Karim Benzema
Jonathan Calleri
2
3
Gareth Bale
Manu García
1
2
Sergio Ramos
First Goalscorers
Manu García
1
1
Marco Asensio

Cards & Corners

Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
3
Average Cards For
2
Player Cards
Mubarak Wakaso
4
3
Daniel Carvajal
Manu García
3
2
Nacho
Martín Aguirregabiria
3
2
Luka Modric
3
Average Corners For
6
8
Average Corners Against
3

Goal Margins

Alaves badge Real Madrid badge
Total1234+
W3001
L1001
Total1234+
W1102
L1001
Home1234+
W2000
L0000
Home1234+
W1101
L0000
Away1234+
W1001
L1001
Away1234+
W0001
L1001

Goal Timings

Alaves badge Real Madrid badge

First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Alaves badge Real Madrid badge

Home First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Home Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Alaves badge Real Madrid badge

Away First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Away Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Free Bets & Offers
BookieHome WinDrawAway WinOffer
15/2 15/4 2/5
7/1 15/4 2/5
13/2 4/1 2/5
7/1 19/5 4/11
13/2 15/4 42/100
7/1 19/5 4/11
6/1 7/2 4/11
13/2 19/5 2/5
BookieYesNoOffer
3/4 1/1
3/4 19/20
8/11 11/10
4/5 1/1
8/11 1/1
4/5 1/1
8/11 1/1
7/10 27/25
BookieHome & YesAway & YesOffer
12/1 7/4
10/1 9/5
10/1 9/5
12/1 9/5
9/1 13/8
12/1 9/5
10/1 9/5
10/1 9/5
BookieUnder 0.5Over 0.5Under 1.5Over 1.5Under 2.5Over 2.5Under 3.5Over 3.5Under 4.5Over 4.5Under 5.5Over 5.5Under 6.5Over 6.5Under 7.5Over 7.5Under 8.5Over 8.5Under 9.5Over 9.5Offer
14/1 1/33 4/1 1/6 7/5 8/15 4/7 11/8 2/9 10/3 1/12 8/1 1/33 14/1 1/100 25/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A 15/4 2/13 11/8 8/15 4/7 5/4 2/9 14/5 1/12 11/2 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
12/1 1/50 4/1 1/6 5/4 8/13 8/15 6/4 1/5 7/2 1/16 15/2 1/50 12/1 1/300 40/1 1/750 100/1 1/1000 100/1
16/1 1/33 4/1 1/6 7/5 8/15 4/7 27/20 2/9 3/1 1/11 7/1 1/33 16/1 1/100 40/1 1/1000 100/1 N/A N/A
12/1 1/50 7/2 1/6 11/8 8/15 8/15 11/8 2/9 3/1 1/12 6/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
16/1 1/33 4/1 1/6 7/5 8/15 4/7 27/20 2/9 3/1 1/11 7/1 1/33 16/1 1/100 40/1 1/1000 100/1 N/A N/A
12/1 1/200 19/5 1/7 5/4 4/7 1/2 7/5 1/6 7/2 1/20 7/1 1/200 16/1 1/1000 25/1 1/1000 66/1 1/1000 100/1
18/1 1/50 9/2 1/6 29/20 11/20 11/20 29/20 11/50 17/5 1/14 8/1 1/50 19/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Alaves badge
0
Real Madrid badge
0
BookieOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOffer
22/1 40/1 22/1 100/1 50/1 50/1 350/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 14/1 15/2 16/1 50/1 200/1 7/1 13/2 7/1 9/1 10/1 20/1 16/1 18/1 33/1 66/1 33/1 33/1 50/1 125/1 500/1 50/1 66/1 100/1 300/1 125/1 150/1 300/1 400/1 450/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
18/1 33/1 18/1 100/1 50/1 50/1 N/A 200/1 150/1 150/1 14/1 8/1 12/1 50/1 250/1 7/1 13/2 15/2 8/1 9/1 18/1 12/1 12/1 28/1 80/1 22/1 25/1 50/1 125/1 N/A 50/1 50/1 100/1 N/A 100/1 125/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
18/1 35/1 17/1 100/1 50/1 45/1 200/1 175/1 150/1 200/1 14/1 8/1 13/1 60/1 200/1 7/1 6/1 13/2 9/1 9/1 17/1 14/1 14/1 30/1 90/1 35/1 40/1 70/1 175/1 200/1 80/1 90/1 175/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 N/A 200/1 N/A 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1N/A
22/1 55/1 22/1 150/1 70/1 55/1 N/A 200/1 150/1 200/1 16/1 17/2 16/1 60/1 200/1 15/2 13/2 15/2 17/2 10/1 22/1 14/1 16/1 33/1 100/1 33/1 33/1 70/1 150/1 N/A 70/1 80/1 150/1 N/A 150/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
20/1 40/1 18/1 80/1 50/1 45/1 125/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 16/1 8/1 16/1 50/1 125/1 15/2 6/1 7/1 8/1 9/1 20/1 14/1 16/1 33/1 70/1 28/1 33/1 55/1 N/A N/A 55/1 60/1 90/1 N/A 90/1 100/1 N/A 125/1 N/A 150/1 125/1 125/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 1/111 1/111 150/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
22/1 55/1 22/1 150/1 70/1 55/1 N/A