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England FA Cup | Villa Park | 5th January
Aston Villa badge
Aston Villa
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
KO 15:00
Swansea City badge
Swansea City
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Aston Villa vs Swansea predictions for Saturday’s FA Cup fixture at Villa Park. After what was a disappointing draw at the weekend, Villa will be hoping to regain the winning thread by knocking Championship opposition out of the FA Cup. Continue reading below for all our free tips and predictions.

Aston Villa vs Swansea City Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Swansea City Draw No Bet @ 2/1

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Swansea City 2-1 @ 12/1

Reason For Aston Villa vs Swansea City Betting Tips

After a couple of poor defensive efforts, Villa needed to tighten up on Boxing Day, though despite having the better of the contest against QPR, Dean Smith’s men were unable to come out on top. Saturday’s hosts have now kept just one clean sheet in their last six, which is worrying, especially as they’re a side that wants to challenge for promotion.

Like many teams, Aston Villa seem to deliver contrasting performances at either end of the pitch. Going forward, they rarely go without creating chances; they’re averaging 1.48 expected goals and currently rank as the Championship’s fifth best team in terms of expected goals for, while they’ve also scored the second most goals. However, only six teams in the division have conceded more goals than Villa, while they rank in the bottom half in terms of both shots against and expected goals against.

A lack of defensive solidity is the main reason as to why the Villans have won just one of their last six and is also why they’ve kept just a single clean sheet during that time. Even at home, where they’ve scored a pleasing 2.31 goals on average, Saturday’s hosts have looked very suspect at the back. They’ve shipped an average of 1.85 goals and are giving up a worrying average of 1.75 expected goals. Again, as a side challenging for promotion, such defensive numbers are not good enough.

In general, Swansea don’t offer as much as Villa going forward, but they’ve given less away on their travels than the hosts have at home, so it’s not all difficult to fancy them at the prices. Graham Potter’s men have shipped just 1.08 goals on average away from home this season. Their average of 1.35 expected goals against does suggest that they ought to have conceded a few more goals, but it also tells us that they’re reasonably good at stopping teams from creating too much. At the very least, it tells us that they’ve given less chances away on the road than Villa have at home.

In all honesty, for all they are a good side going forward, Villa’s dodgy defence makes them very tough to fancy, especially at the prices. Swansea are no strangers to getting a result on their travels and their superior defensive numbers make them stand out as decent bet ahead of this match. All things considered, a play on ‘Swansea Draw No Bet’ appears to represent a slither of a value.

Aston Villa Team News

Aston Villa Team Badge Villa are expected to be without the services of Axel Tuanzebe, Jack Grealish and Orjan Nyland. Henri Lansbury could come into the XI, as could new signing Lovren Kalinic.

Swansea City Team News

Swansea City Team Badge Swansea will be unable to call upon Tom Carroll, while Luciano Narsingh is also out. The visitors can be at full strength in all other areas.

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Article by: Bradley G
Contact: [email protected]
Twitter: @BGibbs92
Published: January 5, 2019

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Form Summary

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Overall
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Recent Competition Form

Aston Villa badge Swansea City badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Aston Villa badge Swansea City badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Aston Villa badge Swansea City badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Aston Villa badge Swansea City badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Aston Villa badge Swansea City badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Aston Villa badge Swansea City badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Aston Villa badge Swansea City badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Aston Villa badge Swansea City badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Aston Villa badge Swansea City badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
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Head To Head

Aston Villa badge
WonDrawnWon
200
Swansea City badge
5
Goals Scored
1
Over 2.5 Goals 1/2 (50%)
Both Teams To Score 1/2 (50%)
Previous Meetings (Last 2)
31.01.25 Swansea City Swansea City badge 1-3 Aston Villa badge Aston Villa
02.02.24 Swansea City Swansea City badge 0-2 Aston Villa badge Aston Villa
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Aston Villa vs Swansea City Stats

  • Swansea have surrendered an average of 1.35 expected goals on the road in the Championship this season.
  • Aston Villa have conceded an average of 1.75 expected goals at home during the current campaign.
  • Aston Villa have conceded an average of 1.85 goals at home this season, while Swansea have conceded an average of 1.08 on their travels.
Free Bets & Offers
BookieHome WinDrawAway WinOffer
19/20 13/5 13/5
10/11 13/5 11/4
10/11 27/10 3/1
10/11 13/5 27/10
4/5 13/5 29/10
10/11 13/5 11/4
5/6 13/5 11/4
9/10 5/2 3/1
BookieYesNoOffer
4/6 11/10
8/13 6/5
8/13 5/4
6/10 13/10
8/13 6/5
6/10 13/10
6/10 6/5
11/20 13/10
BookieHome & YesAway & YesOffer
13/5 11/2
5/2 11/2
13/5 6/1
5/2 5/1
12/5 11/2
5/2 5/1
5/2 11/2
5/2 11/2
BookieUnder 0.5Over 0.5Under 1.5Over 1.5Under 2.5Over 2.5Under 3.5Over 3.5Under 4.5Over 4.5Under 5.5Over 5.5Under 6.5Over 6.5Under 7.5Over 7.5Under 8.5Over 8.5Under 9.5Over 9.5Offer
12/1 1/25 3/1 2/9 11/10 7/10 2/5 7/4 1/7 9/2 1/20 10/1 1/80 22/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A 14/5 2/9 11/10 4/6 17/40 13/8 2/13 15/4 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
9/1 1/50 16/5 2/9 11/10 8/11 2/5 15/8 1/7 9/2 1/25 10/1 1/500 18/1 1/1000 50/1 1/1000 100/1 1/1000 100/1
14/1 1/25 10/3 2/9 6/5 4/6 4/9 13/8 2/11 19/5 1/14 9/1 1/50 22/1 1/200 55/1 1/1000 125/1 N/A N/A
10/1 1/33 3/1 2/9 21/20 7/10 4/9 13/8 1/6 7/2 1/20 8/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
14/1 1/25 10/3 2/9 6/5 4/6 4/9 13/8 2/11 19/5 1/14 9/1 1/50 22/1 1/200 55/1 1/1000 125/1 N/A N/A
10/1 1/100 3/1 1/5 1/1 8/11 4/11 15/8 1/9 9/2 1/50 9/1 1/500 18/1 1/1000 50/1 1/1000 100/1 1/1000 100/1
12/1 1/40 10/3 1/5 11/10 4/6 2/5 9/5 1/7 17/4 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Aston Villa badge
0
Swansea City badge
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BookieOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOffer
15/2 17/2 15/2 16/1 14/1 22/1 33/1 28/1 40/1 80/1 66/1 50/1 80/1 150/1 150/1 150/1 250/1 12/1 6/1 12/1 40/1 200/1 12/1 20/1 12/1 40/1 28/1 33/1 100/1 66/1 66/1 100/1 350/1 200/1 250/1 400/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 500/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
7/1 8/1 7/1 12/1 11/1 18/1 25/1 22/1 33/1 80/1 66/1 50/1 80/1 150/1 200/1 150/1 200/1 10/1 11/2 10/1 33/1 150/1 10/1 18/1 10/1 40/1 22/1 25/1 100/1 66/1 80/1 100/1 N/A 250/1 250/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
7/1 9/1 7/1 14/1 12/1 18/1 33/1 30/1 40/1 100/1 90/1 80/1 100/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 11/1 11/2 11/1 40/1 200/1 12/1 18/1 11/1 45/1 25/1 30/1 125/1 80/1 100/1 125/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 N/A N/AN/A
8/1 9/1 15/2 16/1 12/1 20/1 40/1 28/1 45/1 90/1 90/1 70/1 100/1 150/1 200/1 150/1 200/1 14/1 6/1 11/1 45/1 200/1 12/1 22/1 11/1 50/1 28/1 28/1 125/1 80/1 80/1 125/1 N/A 200/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
7/1 17/2 7/1 14/1 12/1 22/1 33/1 28/1 40/1 80/1 65/1 60/1 80/1 N/A 100/1 100/1 125/1 11/1 5/1 11/1 40/1 125/1 12/1 20/1 12/1 45/1 28/1 33/1 90/1 66/1 70/1 90/1 125/1 125/1 125/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 125/1 125/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A 150/1 150/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A 150/1 1/111N/A
8/1 9/1 15/2 16/1 12/1 20/1 40/1 28/1 45/1 90/1 90/1 70/1 100/1 150/1 200/1 150/1 200/1 14/1 6/1 11/1 45/1 200/1 12/1 22/1 11/1 50/1 28/1 28/1 125/1 80/1 80/1 125/1 N/A 200/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
7/1 9/1 13/2 14/1 12/1 19/1 35/1 25/1 45/1 100/1 100/1 90/1 125/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 11/1 11/2 11/1 40/1 200/1 12/1 20/1 11/1 45/1 25/1 33/1 150/1 80/1 100/1 175/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 N/A N/AN/A
15/2 9/1 7/1 15/1 12/1 18/1 30/1 25/1 35/1 75/1 75/1 60/1 90/1 180/1 200/1 180/1 250/1 23/2 23/4 21/2 35/1 180/1 12/1 20/1 11/1 45/1 25/1 25/1 125/1 75/1 75/1 100/1 N/A 250/1 250/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
BookieHome -1Away +1Home -2Away +2Home -3Away +3Home -4Away +4Home -5Away +5Away -1Home +1Away -2Home +2Away -3Home +3Away -4Home +4Away -5Home +5Home -10Away +10Home -6Away +6Home -7Away +7Home -8Away +8Home -9Away +9Away -10Home +10Away -6Home +6Away -7Home +7Away -8Home +8Away -9Home +9Offer
9/4 17/20 11/2 3/10 12/1 1/14 N/A N/A N/A N/A 13/2 29/100 14/1 1/16 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
9/4 7/8 6/1 30/100 12/1 1/10 N/A N/A N/A N/A 15/2 1/4 14/1 1/14 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
5/2 5/6 13/2 1/4 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 15/2 1/5 20/1 1/20 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
12/5 20/23 13/2 3/10 18/1 1/10 55/1 1/33 150/1 1/150 15/2 2/7 25/1 1/12 80/1 1/50 200/1 1/500 N/A 1/1000 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
23/10 4/5 6/1 1/4 14/1 1/25 25/1 1/100 33/1 1/300 15/2 1/5 16/1 1/33 28/1 1/150 35/1 1/500 35/1 1/2000 35/1 1/100000 35/1 1/1000 35/1 1/5000 35/1 1/25000 35/1 1/100000 35/1 1/100000 35/1 1/25000 35/1 1/100000 35/1 1/100000 35/1 1/100000
12/5 20/23 13/2 3/10 18/1 1/10 55/1 1/33 150/1 1/150 15/2 2/7 25/1 1/12 80/1 1/50 200/1 1/500 N/A 1/1000 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
5/2 5/6 13/2 1/4 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 15/2 1/5 20/1 1/20 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
12/5 4/5 13/2 2/9 16/1 1/18 N/A N/A N/A N/A 8/1 2/11 24/1 1/25 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
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