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FIFA World Cup 2018 | Cosmos Arena | 2nd July
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Brazil
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
KO 15:00
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Mexico
  • L
  • W
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Brazil vs Mexico predictions for this Monday’s World Cup last 16 clash as two of the best supported sides in Russia meet in Samara. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Brazil vs Mexico Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1/1

Brazil 2-1 @ 8/1

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Philippe Coutinho To Score Anytime @ 21/10

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Brazil & Both Teams To Score @ 11/4

Reason For Brazil vs Mexico Betting Tips

This game sees two of the world’s most football-obsessed countries meet but it is only really Brazil that has managed to turn passion for the game into genuine success at a global level. Mexico are last 16 regulars but they’ve not reached the Quarter-Finals since they hosted the tournament way back in 1986.

Banned in 1990, the Mexicans have exited at this stage at every World Cup since and it’s fair to say the omens aren’t good for them to cause an upset here. They did just that in their first game of this World Cup by humbling Germany and they built on that by seeing off South Korea in their next game. However a 3-0 defeat to Sweden in their last group fixture came almost totally out of the blue and you just wonder what damage that must have done to morale in the Mexican camp.

They would have dearly loved to have avoided Brazil but if they can get back to the high intensity and at times high quality that they found in their first fixture, they can certainly cause problems for the South American giants. Brazil haven’t fully convinced but nor did they ever really look in severe danger of not progressing from their group. Unlike some of the other favourites, they are yet to trail at this tournament and were slightly more convincing in their last game, a 2-0 win over Serbia.

The bookies are suggesting this is likely to be relatively low-scoring but there is reason to fancy a few goals. Mexico showed against the Germans that they play with no fear and won’t simply park the bus against elite opposition. Their approach in that game was refreshing to see and the likes of Miguel Layun and Hirving Lozano have impressed out wide while with Chicharito up top, they have a predator that may only need one chance to score a goal.

Mexico will get opportunities in this game and despite a strong defensive record in qualifying, Brazil did give their opponents opportunities in all of their group games. The Mexicans have a bit more about them in the final third than those sides so it’s certainly very plausible that Mexico will score in this game.

However Brazil have more quality overall and should enjoy the lions-share of the chances. Philippe Coutinho has been one of the stars of the tournament so far while Neymar is also due a big game. Up against a Mexico defence that was opened up by Sweden, Brazil should have all the tools needed to be a regular threat going forward and backing Over 2.5 Goals looks to offer value.

Mexico’s last two tournaments of any real significance have seen them exit at the first knockout stage with 7-0 and 4-1 defeats in Copa America and the Confederations Cup respectively. They clearly have issues when it comes to knockout football and while they ought to be more competitive here, it’s hard to see their record getting any better in this match and backing Brazil & Both Teams to Score could be worth a flutter.

Backing Coutinho to Score Anytime also appeals. He’s already netted twice at this World Cup and has 10 goals in his last 12 games for club and country.

Brazil Predicted Lineup: Allisson, Fagner, Silva, Miranda, Luis, Casemiro, Paulinho, Coutinho, Willian, Neymar, Jesus

Mexico Predicted Lineup: Ochoa, Alvarez, Salcedo, Ayala, Gallardo, Guardado, Herrera, Lozano, Vela, Layun, Hernández

Head to Head

These sides have met pretty regularly with 5 meetings in the last 7 years. Brazil have won 3 of the last 5, although they could only draw against Mexico in the group stage at the 2014 World Cup. The sides have met 40 times overall with Brazil boasting a 58% win ratio.

Brazil Team News

Brazil Team Badge Douglas Costa is out injured. First-choice full-backs Danilo and Marcelo are both rated doubtful. Key men Casemiro, Neymar and Coutinho are one booking away from a ban.

Mexico Team News

Mexico Team Badge Hector Moreno is suspended after a booking against Sweden. Hugo Ayala should fill in with no other changes likely.

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Article by: Mark S
Contact: [email protected]
Twitter: @marksoc1
Published: July 2, 2018

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Brazil vs Mexico Stats

  • Mexico have won none of their four previous games against Brazil at the World Cup (D1 L3).
  • Brazil last failed to reach the quarter-finals of the World Cup back in 1990. Since then, they’ve always made it to the last eight of the tournament.
  • Brazil will be looking to win their third game in a row at the World Cup which hasn’t happened since the 2006 edition.
  • Brazil are unbeaten in their last 14 games (W10 D4), with their last defeat dating back to June 2017 against Argentina (0-1).
  • Mexico are the team with the most games played at the World Cup without ever winning the tournament: 56 games, 0 trophy.
  • Mexico faced five times more shots on target from their opponents than Brazil in the group stages (20 v 4).
  • Philippe Coutinho has been directly involved in three of Brazil’s five goals at this year’s World Cup (2 goals, 1 assist). His first ever goal for the national team came against Mexico in June 2015 (2-0).
Free Bets & Offers
BookieHome WinDrawAway WinOffer
1/2 16/5 7/1
8/15 16/5 6/1
8/15 16/5 13/2
1/2 29/10 6/1
1/2 29/10 6/1
1/2 3/1 6/1
BookieYesNoOffer
21/20 7/10
11/10 7/10
23/20 8/11
11/10 7/10
11/10 7/10
11/10 4/6
BookieHome & YesAway & YesOffer
11/4 14/1
11/4 12/1
11/4 12/1
11/4 14/1
11/4 14/1
11/4 12/1
BookieUnder 2.5Over 2.5Over 0.5Under 0.5Over 1.5Under 1.5Over 3.5Under 3.5Over 4.5Under 4.5Over 5.5Under 5.5Over 6.5Under 6.5Over 7.5Under 7.5Over 8.5Under 8.5Offer
4/5 1/1 1/14 17/2 3/10 12/5 5/2 2/7 6/1 1/10 16/1 1/40 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
4/5 1/1 1/16 15/2 1/3 9/4 12/5 30/100 11/2 1/10 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
5/6 1/1 1/16 8/1 3/10 5/2 27/10 2/7 13/2 1/11 14/1 1/100 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
4/5 1/1 1/16 9/1 1/3 23/10 5/2 3/10 6/1 1/10 16/1 1/28 45/1 1/100 100/1 1/1000 200/1 1/1000
4/5 1/1 1/16 9/1 1/3 23/10 5/2 3/10 6/1 1/10 16/1 1/28 45/1 1/100 100/1 1/1000 200/1 1/1000
3/4 19/20 1/20 8/1 2/7 23/10 13/5 1/4 7/1 1/14 14/1 1/100 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Brazil badge
0
Mexico badge
0
BookieOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOffer
5/1 6/1 8/1 10/1 14/1 33/1 22/1 28/1 50/1 150/1 50/1 50/1 125/1 450/1 100/1 150/1 400/1 400/1 500/1 17/2 7/1 22/1 80/1 16/1 40/1 22/1 100/1 66/1 66/1 500/1 250/1 300/1 500/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
19/4 5/1 7/1 8/1 11/1 25/1 16/1 22/1 50/1 125/1 40/1 50/1 80/1 N/A 80/1 100/1 250/1 N/A N/A 8/1 13/2 18/1 80/1 12/1 28/1 18/1 100/1 66/1 66/1 N/A 250/1 250/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
5/1 6/1 15/2 9/1 13/1 33/1 22/1 25/1 80/1 300/1 70/1 80/1 175/1 500/1 200/1 275/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 10/1 7/1 20/1 100/1 17/1 35/1 20/1 125/1 75/1 90/1 500/1 375/1 475/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1N/A
24/5 11/2 15/2 9/1 12/1 33/1 20/1 28/1 66/1 150/1 50/1 66/1 125/1 N/A 125/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 9/1 13/2 20/1 100/1 16/1 40/1 20/1 125/1 80/1 70/1 N/A 200/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
24/5 11/2 15/2 9/1 12/1 33/1 20/1 28/1 66/1 150/1 50/1 66/1 125/1 N/A 125/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 9/1 13/2 20/1 100/1 16/1 40/1 20/1 125/1 80/1 70/1 N/A 200/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
5/1 11/2 7/1 9/1 12/1 30/1 22/1 25/1 70/1 275/1 60/1 80/1 175/1 500/1 200/1 275/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 9/1 7/1 20/1 100/1 16/1 35/1 20/1 100/1 70/1 80/1 500/1 325/1 425/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1 500/1N/A
BookieHome -1Away +1Home -3Away +3Home -2Away +2Home +1Away -1Home +2Away -2Home +3Home +4Home +5Home -4Away +4Home -5Away +5Offer
7/5 13/8 9/1 1/7 15/4 1/2 1/11 14/1 1/50 22/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
11/8 8/5 9/1 2/11 15/4 8/15 1/10 14/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 16/1 1/20 N/A N/A
6/4 8/5 N/A N/A 4/1 4/9 1/12 16/1 1/50 70/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
29/20 8/5 11/1 2/11 19/5 8/15 1/9 22/1 1/50 90/1 1/750 1/1000 1/1000 33/1 1/18 90/1 1/66
29/20 8/5 11/1 2/11 19/5 8/15 1/9 22/1 1/50 90/1 1/750 1/1000 1/1000 33/1 1/18 90/1 1/66
N/A N/A N/A N/A 4/1 4/9 1/14 17/1 1/80 70/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Free Bets & Offers

Brazil vs Mexico predictions for this Monday’s World Cup last 16 clash as two of the best supported sides in Russia meet in Samara. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Brazil vs Mexico Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

Tips

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Over 2.5 Match Goals @ 1/1

Brazil 2-1 @ 8/1

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Philippe Coutinho To Score Anytime @ 21/10

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Brazil & Both Teams To Score @ 11/4

Reason For Brazil vs Mexico Betting Tips

This game sees two of the world’s most football-obsessed countries meet but it is only really Brazil that has managed to turn passion for the game into genuine success at a global level. Mexico are last 16 regulars but they’ve not reached the Quarter-Finals since they hosted the tournament way back in 1986.

Banned in 1990, the Mexicans have exited at this stage at every World Cup since and it’s fair to say the omens aren’t good for them to cause an upset here. They did just that in their first game of this World Cup by humbling Germany and they built on that by seeing off South Korea in their next game. However a 3-0 defeat to Sweden in their last group fixture came almost totally out of the blue and you just wonder what damage that must have done to morale in the Mexican camp.

They would have dearly loved to have avoided Brazil but if they can get back to the high intensity and at times high quality that they found in their first fixture, they can certainly cause problems for the South American giants. Brazil haven’t fully convinced but nor did they ever really look in severe danger of not progressing from their group. Unlike some of the other favourites, they are yet to trail at this tournament and were slightly more convincing in their last game, a 2-0 win over Serbia.

The bookies are suggesting this is likely to be relatively low-scoring but there is reason to fancy a few goals. Mexico showed against the Germans that they play with no fear and won’t simply park the bus against elite opposition. Their approach in that game was refreshing to see and the likes of Miguel Layun and Hirving Lozano have impressed out wide while with Chicharito up top, they have a predator that may only need one chance to score a goal.

Mexico will get opportunities in this game and despite a strong defensive record in qualifying, Brazil did give their opponents opportunities in all of their group games. The Mexicans have a bit more about them in the final third than those sides so it’s certainly very plausible that Mexico will score in this game.

However Brazil have more quality overall and should enjoy the lions-share of the chances. Philippe Coutinho has been one of the stars of the tournament so far while Neymar is also due a big game. Up against a Mexico defence that was opened up by Sweden, Brazil should have all the tools needed to be a regular threat going forward and backing Over 2.5 Goals looks to offer value.

Mexico’s last two tournaments of any real significance have seen them exit at the first knockout stage with 7-0 and 4-1 defeats in Copa America and the Confederations Cup respectively. They clearly have issues when it comes to knockout football and while they ought to be more competitive here, it’s hard to see their record getting any better in this match and backing Brazil & Both Teams to Score could be worth a flutter.

Backing Coutinho to Score Anytime also appeals. He’s already netted twice at this World Cup and has 10 goals in his last 12 games for club and country.

Brazil Predicted Lineup: Allisson, Fagner, Silva, Miranda, Luis, Casemiro, Paulinho, Coutinho, Willian, Neymar, Jesus

Mexico Predicted Lineup: Ochoa, Alvarez, Salcedo, Ayala, Gallardo, Guardado, Herrera, Lozano, Vela, Layun, Hernández

Head to Head

These sides have met pretty regularly with 5 meetings in the last 7 years. Brazil have won 3 of the last 5, although they could only draw against Mexico in the group stage at the 2014 World Cup. The sides have met 40 times overall with Brazil boasting a 58% win ratio.

Brazil Team News

Brazil Team Badge Douglas Costa is out injured. First-choice full-backs Danilo and Marcelo are both rated doubtful. Key men Casemiro, Neymar and Coutinho are one booking away from a ban.

Mexico Team News

Mexico Team Badge Hector Moreno is suspended after a booking against Sweden. Hugo Ayala should fill in with no other changes likely.

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Stats

Brazil vs Mexico Stats

  • Mexico have won none of their four previous games against Brazil at the World Cup (D1 L3).
  • Brazil last failed to reach the quarter-finals of the World Cup back in 1990. Since then, they’ve always made it to the last eight of the tournament.
  • Brazil will be looking to win their third game in a row at the World Cup which hasn’t happened since the 2006 edition.
  • Brazil are unbeaten in their last 14 games (W10 D4), with their last defeat dating back to June 2017 against Argentina (0-1).
  • Mexico are the team with the most games played at the World Cup without ever winning the tournament: 56 games, 0 trophy.
  • Mexico faced five times more shots on target from their opponents than Brazil in the group stages (20 v 4).
  • Philippe Coutinho has been directly involved in three of Brazil’s five goals at this year’s World Cup (2 goals, 1 assist). His first ever goal for the national team came against Mexico in June 2015 (2-0).

Odds

BookieHome WinDrawAway WinOffer
1/2 16/5 7/1
8/15 16/5 6/1
8/15 16/5 13/2
1/2 29/10 6/1
1/2 29/10 6/1
1/2 3/1 6/1
BookieYesNoOffer
21/20 7/10
11/10 7/10
23/20 8/11
11/10 7/10
11/10 7/10
11/10 4/6
BookieHome & YesAway & YesOffer
11/4 14/1
11/4 12/1
11/4 12/1
11/4 14/1
11/4 14/1
11/4 12/1
BookieUnder 2.5Over 2.5Over 0.5Under 0.5Over 1.5Under 1.5Over 3.5Under 3.5Over 4.5Under 4.5Over 5.5Under 5.5Over 6.5Under 6.5Over 7.5Under 7.5Over 8.5Under 8.5Offer
4/5 1/1 1/14 17/2 3/10 12/5 5/2 2/7 6/1 1/10 16/1 1/40 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
4/5 1/1 1/16 15/2 1/3 9/4 12/5 30/100 11/2 1/10 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
5/6 1/1 1/16 8/1 3/10 5/2 27/10 2/7 13/2 1/11 14/1 1/100 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
4/5 1/1 1/16 9/1 1/3 23/10 5/2 3/10 6/1 1/10 16/1 1/28 45/1 1/100 100/1 1/1000 200/1 1/1000
4/5 1/1 1/16 9/1 1/3 23/10 5/2 3/10 6/1 1/10 16/1 1/28 45/1 1/100 100/1 1/1000 200/1 1/1000
3/4 19/20 1/20 8/1 2/7 23/10 13/5 1/4 7/1 1/14 14/1 1/100 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Brazil badge
0
Mexico badge
0
BookieOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOffer
5/1 6/1 8/1 10/1 14/1 33/1 22/1 28/1 50/1 150/1 50/1 50/1 125/1 450/1 100/1 150/1 400/1 400/1 500/1 17/2 7/1 22/1 80/1 16/1 40/1 22/1 100/1 66/1 66/1 500/1 250/1 300/1 500/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
19/4 5/1 7/1 8/1 11/1 25/1 16/1 22/1 50/1 125/1 40/1 50/1 80/1 N/A 80/1 100/1 250/1 N/A N/A 8/1 13/2 18/1 80/1 12/1 28/1 18/1 100/1 66/1 66/1 N/A 250/1 250/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
5/1 6/1 15/2 9/1 13/1 33/1 22/1 25/1