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16th Feb 2019
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England FA Cup | The Amex Stadium | 16th February
BT Sport 2
Brighton badge
Brighton
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
KO 12:30
Derby badge
Derby
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Brighton vs Derby predictions for Saturday’s FA Cup tie at the Amex Stadium. Derby hope to extend their unbeaten streak when they visit Brighton in the FA Cup 5th Round. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

FST’s Dean Goddard covers our Brighton vs Derby predictions and betting tips in the video below.

Brighton vs Derby Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Derby Double Chance @ 19/20

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Draw 1-1 @ 6/1

Reason For Brighton vs Derby Betting Tips

Brighton, who enjoyed a very promising opening half of the season, have seen their fortunes turn over the last couple of months. The Seagulls fell to a dismal 3-1 loss at home to the relegation threatened Burnley last weekend to continue their worrying slide down the table.

Chris Hughton’s side now sit just 3 points above the relegation zone, and their loss to Burnley made it 7 competitive games without a win in normal time. Their only perceived success during this period was a 3-1 win in extra time against West Brom, but their goalless draw at home to the Championship outfit was what put them in that situation in the first place.

The 3rd round of the FA Cup saw an in form Brighton side win away to Bournemouth, but since then it’s just been a consistent downfall from the south coast side. Their usually excellent home form has disappeared into the ether, with that 3-1 loss to Burnley a new low for them after winning just 1 of their last 7 competitive games at the Amex Stadium.

This is something that Derby will be looking to take advantage of. The Championship side find themselves in the midst of an excellent run of form, with their midweek draw at Ipswich making it 6 matches unbeaten in all competitions and keeping them well in the hunt for a playoff spot in the Championship.

The Rams are now behind Middlesbrough on goal difference alone, and there is actually a fairly reasonable gap of just 10 points between them and the Championship leaders. A push for automatic promotion isn’t out of the question for Frank Lampard’s side here, and keeping up confidence with another FA Cup triumph would do wonders for their chances.

Considering Brighton’s recent dip in form, especially at home, it’s surprising to see them so heavily favoured here. The Seagulls have won just 1 of their last 7 competitive home games, and with Derby unbeaten away from home in 4 matches we think backing a Derby Win or Draw Double Chance is a fantastic option alongside a 1-1 correct score prediction.

Predicted Lineups

Line ups are predicted by our Team News Analysts
Brighton
4-3-3
Derby
4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting XI's
Brighton
Derby
Ryan
Roos
Montoya
Bogle
Duffy
Keogh
Balogun
Tomori
Bernardo
Malone
Knockaert
King
Stephens
Johnson
Propper
Holmes
Jahanbakhsh
Wilson
Murray
Lawrence
Locadia
Waghorn
Subs
Brighton
Derby
Bissouma
Bennett
Bong
Bryson
Bruno Saltor
Cole
Button
Evans
Dunk
Huddlestone
Gross
Josefzoon
Kayal
Marriott
Nugent
Wisdom
Doubtful
Brighton
Derby
March (Injured)
Carson (Injured)
Unavailable
Brighton
Derby
Andone (Suspended)
Davies (Injured)
Izquierdo (Injured)
Forsyth (Injured)
Mount (Injured)
Olsson (Injured)
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Article by: Alex W
Contact: [email protected]
Twitter: @Wrig90
Published: February 15, 2019

Our match preview predictions are fully researched and provided in good faith but no profits are guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly, you should only ever gamble with money you can afford to lose. Visit our responsible gambling guidelines for more information. 18+

Form Summary

Brighton badge Derby badge
Overall
PWDL
2110
Home
1010
Away
1100
Overall
PWDL
3120
Home
1010
Away
2110

Recent Competition Form

Brighton badge Derby badge
1-3 v West Bromwich Albion (A)
W
0-1 v Accrington Stanley (A)
W
0-0 v West Bromwich Albion (H)
D
2-2 v Southampton (A)
D
1-3 v Bournemouth (A)
W
2-2 v Southampton (H)
D
6Goals Scored5
2Goals Conceded4
2/3 (67%)Over 2.5 Goals2/3 (67%)
2/3 (67%)Both Teams Scored2/3 (67%)
Brighton badge Derby badge
0-0 v West Bromwich Albion (H)
D
2-2 v Southampton (H)
D
0Goals Scored2
0Goals Conceded2
0/1 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals1/1 (100%)
0/1 (0%)Both Teams Scored1/1 (100%)
Brighton badge Derby badge
1-3 v West Bromwich Albion (A)
W
0-1 v Accrington Stanley (A)
W
1-3 v Bournemouth (A)
W
2-2 v Southampton (A)
D
6Goals Scored3
2Goals Conceded2
2/2 (100%)Over 2.5 Goals1/2 (50%)
2/2 (100%)Both Teams Scored1/2 (50%)
Brighton badge Derby badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Brighton badge Derby badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Brighton badge Derby badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Brighton badge Derby badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Brighton badge Derby badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
Brighton badge Derby badge
0Goals Scored0
0Goals Conceded0
0/0 (0%)Over 2.5 Goals0/0 (0%)
0/0 (0%)Both Teams Scored0/0 (0%)
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Head To Head

Brighton badge
WonDrawnWon
102
Derby badge
4
Goals Scored
11
Over 2.5 Goals 3/3 (100%)
Both Teams To Score 2/3 (67%)
Previous Meetings (Last 3)
07.01.61 Brighton and Hove Albion Brighton and Hove Albion badge 3-1 Derby County badge Derby County
14.02.46 Derby County Derby County badge 6-0 Brighton and Hove Albion badge Brighton and Hove Albion
09.02.46 Brighton and Hove Albion Brighton and Hove Albion badge 1-4 Derby County badge Derby County
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Brighton vs Derby Stats

  • Brighton have won just 1 of their last 7 home games in all competitions, including a draw at home to West Brom in the FA Cup 4th Round.
  • Derby County are unbeaten in 6 games in all competitions, with 4 of those matches coming away from home.
  • The Rams picked up a penalty victory away to Premier League opposition Southampton in the last round of the FA Cup.

How we calculate our stats

Our stats are based on games this season. Games played this season: 6
(3 by Brighton) and (3 by Derby)

Goals

Brighton badge Derby badge
67%
BTTS (%)
67%
67%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
67%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
67%
67%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
67%
67%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
67%
2
Average Goals For
1.67
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
33%
Cleansheet (%)
33%
33%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Brighton badge Derby badge
0%
BTTS (%)
100%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
100%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
100%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
100%
0
Average Goals For
2
0
Average Goals Conceded
2
100%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
100%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Brighton badge Derby badge
100%
BTTS (%)
50%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
100%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
50%
100%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
50%
100%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
50%
3
Average Goals For
1.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
0%
Cleansheet (%)
50%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Brighton badge Derby badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Brighton badge Derby badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Brighton badge Derby badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Brighton badge Derby badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Brighton badge Derby badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Brighton badge Derby badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%

Goalscorers

Brighton badge Derby badge
Top Goalscorers
Glenn Murray
2
3
Martyn Waghorn
Florin Andone
2
2
Tom Lawrence
Anthony Knockaert
1
1
Richard Keogh
First Goalscorers
Anthony Knockaert
1
1
Martyn Waghorn

Cards & Corners

Brighton badge Derby badge
1
Average Cards For
2
Player Cards
Jürgen Locadia
1
2
Jayden Bogle
Yves Bissouma
1
1
Jack Marriott
Dale Stephens
1
1
David Nugent
7
Average Corners For
4
5
Average Corners Against
5

Goal Margins

Brighton badge Derby badge
Total1234+
W0100
L0000
Total1234+
W1000
L0000
Home1234+
W0000
L0000
Home1234+
W0000
L0000
Away1234+
W0100
L0000
Away1234+
W1000
L0000

Goal Timings

Brighton badge Derby badge

First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Brighton badge Derby badge

Home First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Home Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Brighton badge Derby badge

Away First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Away Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Free Bets & Offers
BookieHome WinDrawAway WinOffer
10/11 13/5 7/2
7/8 5/2 100/30
17/20 12/5 10/3
10/11 5/2 17/5
10/11 13/5 17/5
17/20 5/2 10/3
10/11 12/5 13/4
5/6 12/5 10/3
10/11 49/20 17/5
BookieYesNoOffer
10/11 10/11
17/20 10/11
20/23 9/10
20/23 10/11
4/5 1/1
17/20 17/20
20/23 10/11
17/20 17/20
3/4 1/1
BookieHome & YesAway & YesOffer
3/1 15/2
3/1 7/1
16/5 13/2
16/5 15/2
31/10 7/1
27/10 7/1
16/5 15/2
3/1 7/1
29/10 13/2
BookieUnder 0.5Over 0.5Under 1.5Over 1.5Under 2.5Over 2.5Under 3.5Over 3.5Under 4.5Over 4.5Under 5.5Over 5.5Under 6.5Over 6.5Under 7.5Over 7.5Under 8.5Over 8.5Under 9.5Over 9.5Offer
17/2 1/14 12/5 3/10 3/4 21/20 2/7 5/2 1/10 6/1 1/40 16/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
N/A N/A 9/4 1/3 31/40 1/1 30/100 12/5 1/10 11/2 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
15/2 1/16 9/4 1/3 3/4 21/20 1/4 14/5 1/14 7/1 1/80 12/1 1/1000 40/1 1/1000 66/1 1/1000 100/1 1/1000 100/1
17/2 1/14 11/5 1/3 3/4 21/20 2/7 13/5 1/10 13/2 1/33 16/1 1/150 45/1 1/1000 125/1 1/1000 200/1 N/A N/A
8/1 1/16 23/10 1/3 31/40 21/20 1/4 14/5 1/12 13/2 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
8/1 1/20 12/5 3/10 8/11 1/1 3/10 12/5 1/12 6/1 1/40 11/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
17/2 1/14 11/5 1/3 3/4 21/20 2/7 13/5 1/10 13/2 1/33 16/1 1/150 45/1 1/1000 125/1 1/1000 200/1 N/A N/A
7/1 1/20 23/10 2/7 8/11 1/1 2/9 14/5 1/18 13/2 1/200 12/1 1/1000 25/1 1/1000 80/1 1/1000 100/1 1/1000 100/1
19/2 1/18 13/5 2/7 5/6 19/20 3/10 5/2 1/10 13/2 1/40 15/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Brighton badge
0
Derby badge
0
BookieOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOffer
6/1 15/2 15/2 14/1 14/1 28/1 33/1 33/1 50/1 100/1 66/1 66/1 125/1 300/1 200/1 200/1 400/1 17/2 11/2 14/1 50/1 350/1 12/1 20/1 12/1 40/1 33/1 40/1 125/1 80/1 100/1 150/1 350/1 450/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 500/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
11/2 7/1 15/2 12/1 12/1 22/1 25/1 25/1 50/1 100/1 80/1 66/1 100/1 250/1 200/1 200/1 N/A 8/1 11/2 12/1 50/1 N/A 10/1 20/1 12/1 50/1 33/1 33/1 150/1 100/1 100/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
11/2 15/2 7/1 13/1 13/1 22/1 35/1 35/1 60/1 150/1 100/1 90/1 175/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 8/1 5/1 13/1 66/1 200/1 11/1 18/1 12/1 60/1 35/1 40/1 175/1 100/1 150/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1N/A
11/2 15/2 15/2 16/1 16/1 28/1 40/1 40/1 66/1 150/1 100/1 100/1 150/1 N/A 200/1 200/1 N/A 17/2 11/2 14/1 70/1 N/A 10/1 22/1 12/1 66/1 40/1 45/1 150/1 125/1 150/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
6/1 17/2 8/1 15/1 15/1 30/1 35/1 35/1 70/1 150/1 100/1 100/1 150/1 N/A 225/1 225/1 N/A 8/1 6/1 17/1 75/1 N/A 11/1 22/1 14/1 70/1 35/1 40/1 225/1 125/1 125/1 225/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
11/2 7/1 7/1 14/1 14/1 25/1 33/1 33/1 55/1 90/1 70/1 70/1 90/1 N/A 125/1 125/1 125/1 17/2 5/1 14/1 55/1 125/1 10/1 20/1 14/1 45/1 35/1 40/1 90/1 80/1 90/1 100/1 125/1 125/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A 150/1 125/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 125/1 N/A N/A 150/1 150/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/A N/A 150/1 N/A N/AN/A
11/2 15/2 15/2 16/1 16/1 28/1 40/1 40/1 66/1 150/1 100/1 100/1 150/1 N/A 200/1 200/1 N/A 17/2 11/2 14/1 70/1 N/A 10/1 22/1 12/1 66/1 40/1 45/1 150/1 125/1 150/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
11/2 7/1 7/1 14/1 13/1 25/1 40/1 35/1 60/1 200/1 100/1 100/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 15/2 5/1 13/1 75/1 200/1 10/1 20/1 12/1 60/1 35/1 45/1 200/1 125/1 175/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1N/A
6/1 8/1 7/1 14/1 13/1 22/1 33/1 30/1 50/1 110/1 80/1 75/1 125/1 275/1 250/1 225/1 N/A 9/1 27/5 12/1 50/1 300/1 21/2 20/1 12/1 50/1 30/1 34/1 160/1 100/1 110/1 160/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
BookieHome -1Away +1Home -2Away +2Home -3Away +3Home -4Away +4Home -5Away +5Away -1Home +1Away -2Home +2Away -3Home +3Away -4Home +4Away -5Home +5Offer
12/5 10/11 6/1 2/7 14/1 1/14 N/A N/A N/A N/A 8/1 1/5 16/1 1/20 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
11/5 10/11 6/1 30/100 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 10/1 1/5 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
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