Comerciantes Unidos host playoff pushing Deportivo Municipal in the Peruvian Primera Division this Monday. Our free betting tips suggest that the away side will continue their unbeaten streak against the hosts.
Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Municipal Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews
Reason For Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Municipal Betting Tips
Comerciantes Unidos have been struggling around the lower bottom half of the table for most of the year since their promotion to the Primera Division in 2015. Unidos are likely about where they expected to be for their first season in the top flight, with their current form reflecting their average form – Unidos have taken 12 points from their 10 Clausura fixtures so far (W3 D3 L4). Unidos made the trip to 2015 Primera Division champions Melgar during the week, a trip which saw them leave with nothing but a suspension for lone striker Wilfido Rivas in a 3-2 defeat. Fortunately, Comerciantes Unidos are not the only team struggling. Despite a spell of average form they remain 12th in the overall league table, though just 3 points above 14th placed Ayacucho and the relegation zone.
Deportivo Municipal, contrastingly, are still pushing for a top 4 playoff position at the other end of the table. Municipal currently stand in 5th place, trailing 4th placed Sport Huancayo on goal difference alone. Municipal have taken 4 points from their last 2 matches, with a 1-0 win at home to 2015 champions Melgar last weekend and a 0-0 draw at home to current league leaders Sporting Cristal on Wednesday both representing crucial points in their playoff efforts as the season draws to a close. This fixture represents a potentially huge 3 points for both sides in their playoff and relegation efforts.
2015 promoted Comerciantes Unidos may have struggled with matches on the road this season, a factor that will have to be built upon if they want to establish themselves as a top flight side, but their home record undoubtedly shows the talent is their. Comerciantes have the 3rd best home record in the Primera Division this season, taking a huge 26 points from a possible 36 (W8 D2 L2). Meanwhile, Deportivo Municipal are very much middle of the pack with regards to their away record, taking only 14 points from their 12 fixtures on the road (W3 D5 L4) and without a win in 6 consecutive away fixtures. Though Municipal are also coming into this match off the back of 2 consecutive away defeats, we must consider the relative strengths of the teams both sides have faced. Deportivo Municipal’s recent defeats on the road mainly been against the stronger, playoff pushing sides. While Comerciantes Unidos have failed to take all 3 points twice in their last 4 fixtures against sides within the top 4. Also, Deportivo Municipal have won 1-0 over all 3 previous meetings between the two sides and have not lost 3 consecutive away matches since September 2013 (2 potential opportunities to do so since).
Combining the above analysis and trends, we find top value in the away side for this match. Deportivo Municipal or draw at 10/11 and Deportivo Municipal to win 1-0 at 10/1 are our choices for top value bets for this match.
Head to Head
Deportivo Municipal have won 1-0 in all 3 meetings between the two sides.
Comerciantes Unidos Team News
Comerciantes Unidos will be without striker Wilfido Rivas (5 goals in 22 appearances) as he serves the 1st of his 3 match suspension for his straight red card in the 3-2 defeat away to Melgar last Wednesday. Striker Carlos Perez (8 goals in 23 appearances) will likely replace him in the defensive/counter attacking style football Unidos like to employ.
Deportivo Municipal Team News
Deportivo Municipal expect to remain unchanged with stiker Argentinian Max Velasco (8 goals in 23 appearances) partnering holding striker Sergio Moreno (3 goals in 21 appearances) in the same 4-4-2 lineup that has taken 4 points from their last 2 matches.
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Comerciantes Unidos vs Deportivo Municipal Stats
58% of both Comerciantes Unidos’ home and Deportivo Municipal’s away matches had under 2.5 goals scored. Comerciantes Unidos’ most common home result is a 1-0 win (25% of all 12 home fixtures in 2016). Comerciantes Unidos have won or drawn in 84% of all home matches this season (W8 D2 L2).