10th placed Comerciantes Unidos host 11th placed Union Comerio in the Peruvian Primera Division this Friday evening. Our free betting tips suggest that this should be a low scoring affair.
Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Comercio Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews
Reason For Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Comercio Betting Tips
Comerciantes Unidos have been struggling around the lower half of the table for most of the year since their promotion to the Primera Division in 2015. Unidos are about where they expected to be for their first season in the top flight, with their current form (W2 D2 L2 from their last 6) being a decent reflection of their mid-table position. Unidos put a serious dent in Deportivo Municipal’s playoff chances with a 1-0 win on Monday, yet another decent home performance from the mid-table side. These crucial three points leave Unidos standing 11th in the overall table, six points above Defensor La Bocana and the relegation zone.
Union Comercio finally broke their streak of poor form last weekend with a shock 2-1 win at home to league leaders Universitario. This was their first win in 7 matches (W1 D3 L3) and broke the chain of three consecutive home defeats, certain relief for the home fans. Though Comercio stand 10th and just 1 place above the hosts in the table, they are only 1 point behind Juan Aurich, the top 7 and Copa Sudamericana first round qualification. The visitors, bizarrely, have both cup qualification and relegation to consider; they may be 7 points clear of the relegation zone, but three top 5 sides await them in 3 of their 4 remaining fixtures (Universitario, Sport Huancayo and Melgar).
2015 promoted Comerciantes Unidos may have struggled with matches on the road this season, a factor that will have to be built upon if they want to establish themselves as a top flight side, but their home record undoubtedly shows the talent is there. Comerciantes Unidos have the best home record in the Primera Division this season, taking a huge 29 points from a possible 39 (W9 D2 L2). Meanwhile, Union Comercio are very much middle of the pack with regards to their away record, taking only 14 points from their 13 fixtures on the road (W3 D5 L5). The visitors are, however, unbeaten in five consecutive away matches (W2 D3), coming into this with three back to back 1-1 draws and two 1-0 wins before that. The home side, similarly, are unbeaten in four home matches (W3 D1), claiming clean sheets in each of these, with back to back 1-0’s most recently. Comerciantes have a challenge ahead to keep up this run as Comercio haven’t failed to score in 7 consecutive away matches.
Combining the above analysis and the trending towards low scoring results at home and away respectively (see statistics), we find top value in a low scoring outcome here. Under 2.5 goals at 3/4 seems a safe bet and a 1-1 draw at 11/2 with bet365 seems a top value correct score bet for this match.
Head to Head
Union Comercio won 3-2 at home to Comerciantes Unidos in the Apertura fixture earlier in 2016. Over all 3 meetings between the two sides, Union Comercio has won twice and Comerciantes once - the home side has won every time.
Comerciantes Unidos Team News
Comerciantes Unidos will be without striker Wilfido Rivas (5 goals in 22 appearances) as he serves the 2nd of his three match suspension for his straight red card in the 3-2 defeat away to Melgar last Wednesday. Striker Carlos Perez (8 goals in 24 appearances) replaced him in last weekend's 1-0 win at home to Deportivo Municipal.
Union Comercio Team News
Union Comercio's Javier Chumpitaz returns for this match, serving the last of his three match suspension in last Sunday's 2-1 home win over Universitario. Defender Yosimar Quinones made his return to the starting lineup two matches back, and looks to be holding his central defensive position well.
Next Fixtures To Kick Off
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Comerciantes Unidos vs Union Comercio Stats
Comerciantes Unidos have the best home record in the Peruvian Primera Division. Comerciantes have not conceded a goal in any of their last 4 home matches but Union Comercio have scored at least one goal in 85% of their away matches. Under 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of the home side’s last 5 matches and in all 5 of the away side’s last 5 matches.