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6th Oct 2018
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Spain La Liga | Estadio Municipal de Butarque | 6th October
Leganes badge
Leganes
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
KO 19:45
Rayo Vallecano badge
Rayo Vallecano
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano predictions for this Saturday’s Madrid derby in Spain’s La Liga between two of the bottom three. Read on for our free betting tips and predictions.

Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Rayo Vallecano Double Chance @ 3/4

We use stars to rate our confidence in our tips, with 3 being most confident to 1 being the least.
Draw 1-1 @ 11/2

Reason For Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano Betting Tips

This is a local derby in the Spanish capital although one that hasn’t been played much in recent years. Leganes and Rayo Vallecano have managed to just miss each other with one going up in the same season the other has headed in the opposite direction. This Saturday’s match at Butarque will be the first meeting between the clubs in 14 years to take place in either the Primera or Segunda Divisions.

It’s also the first ever top flight meeting but it comes at a time when both sides find themselves in the relegation zone. Leganes are currently rock bottom with just four points from seven games. The most incredible thing about that is that they’ve already beaten Barcelona this season but have suffered defeats in 5 of their other 6 fixtures, the most recent of which was a late 1-0 loss at Betis last weekend.

Like Leganes, Rayo feel as though their performances have warranted more than the 5 points they’ve amassed so far. They come into this match on the back of two 2-2 draws against Real Sociedad and Espanyol. Slowly they seem to be warming to the task of top flight football although they will need to keep their discipline here in a derby match, having already thrown away their chances of getting a result against Alaves with an early red card.

They actually lost that match 5-1 but their performance wasn’t actually that bad and they do look to have a goal or two in them with Raul De Tomas impressing up front while Gael Kakuta is a much more consistent performer these days on the wing. They’ve taken 4 points from their 3 away games so far, a decent return and the only road match they suffered defeat in was against Atletico Madrid and they were a little unfortunate that day.

Therefore there looks to be some value in backing them to get a result here against struggling opposition. Leganes pulled a performance out of nowhere to beat Barcelona but overall they look short in key areas. They completed less than 100 passes last week against Real Betis, an incredibly low figure and they’ve only won 2 of their last 13 in La Liga overall.

All things considered, backing Rayo Vallecano Double Chance could be the way to go here with the visitors perhaps boasting a little more firepower and quality on the ball.

Predicted Lineups

Line ups are predicted by our Team News Analysts
Leganes
5-4-1
Rayo Vallecano
4-2-3-1
Predicted Starting XI's
Leganes
Rayo Vallecano
Cuellar
Alberto Garcia
Juanfran
Advincula
Siovas
Ba
Raul Garcia
Jordi Amat
Bustinza
Alex Moreno
Jonathan Silva
Imbula
El Zhar
Santi Comesana
Ruben Perez
Kakuta
Gerard Gumbau
Trejo
Oscar Rodriguez
Bebe
Carrillo
Raul de Tomas
Subs
Leganes
Rayo Vallecano
Dani Ojeda
Adri Embarba
Dos Santos
Alejandro Galvez
En-Nesyri
Alex Alegria
Eraso
Alvaro Garcia
Lunin
Chechu Dorado
Michael Santos
Dimitrievski
Mikel Vesga
Javi Guerra
Nyom
Medran
Rolan
Sergio Akieme
Doubtful
Leganes
Rayo Vallecano
Munoz (Injured)
Recio (Injured)
Unavailable
Leganes
Rayo Vallecano
Jose Arnaiz (Injured)
Elustondo (Injured)
Szymanowski (Injured)
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Article by: Mark S
Contact: [email protected]
Twitter: @marksoc1
Published: October 5, 2018

Our match preview predictions are fully researched and provided in good faith but no profits are guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly, you should only ever gamble with money you can afford to lose. Visit our responsible gambling guidelines for more information. 18+

Form Summary

Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
Overall
PWDL
8215
Home
4211
Away
4004
Overall
PWDL
7124
Home
3012
Away
4112

Recent Competition Form

Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
1-0 v Real Betis (A)
L
2-2 v Espanyol (H)
D
2-1 v Barcelona (H)
W
2-2 v Real Sociedad (A)
D
1-0 v Eibar (A)
L
1-5 v Alavés (H)
L
0-1 v Villarreal (H)
L
0-1 v Huesca (A)
W
4-1 v Real Madrid (A)
L
1-0 v Atlético de Madrid (A)
L
2-2 v Real Sociedad (H)
D
1-4 v Sevilla (H)
L
5Goals Scored7
10Goals Conceded14
3/6 (50%)Over 2.5 Goals4/6 (67%)
3/6 (50%)Both Teams Scored4/6 (67%)
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League Table

PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Sevilla8512188+1016
2Barcelona8431199+1015
3Atlético de Madrid843194+515
4Real Madrid8422127+514
5Espanyol8422117+414
6Alavés8422118+314
7Real Valladolid833276+112
8Real Betis833256-112
9Real Sociedad83231211+111
10Celta de Vigo82421312+110
11Levante83141214-210
12Eibar8314912-310
13Getafe823367-19
14Valencia CF816167-19
15Girona82331013-39
16Villarreal822467-18
17Athletic Club7142913-47
18Leganés8215712-57
19Rayo Vallecano7124715-85
20Huesca8125718-115
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Espanyol440071+612
2Real Madrid431071+610
3Atlético de Madrid431061+510
4Barcelona4220145+98
5Alavés422042+28
6Sevilla421153+27
7Leganés421154+17
8Real Betis421145-17
9Celta de Vigo413075+26
10Real Valladolid42023306
11Eibar420256-16
12Athletic Club5122610-45
13Valencia CF40403304
14Getafe411223-14
15Levante4112711-44
16Girona5113610-44
17Real Sociedad301235-21
18Huesca301213-21
19Villarreal401314-31
20Rayo Vallecano3012411-71
PosTeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Real Sociedad531196+310
2Sevilla4301135+89
3Villarreal421153+27
4Barcelona421154+17
5Levante420253+26
6Alavés420276+16
7Real Valladolid413043+16
8Girona312043+15
9Getafe41214405
10Atlético de Madrid41213305
11Real Betis41211105
12Valencia CF412134-15
13Celta de Vigo411267-14
14Real Madrid411256-14
15Rayo Vallecano411234-14
16Eibar411246-24
17Huesca5113615-94
18Athletic Club20203302
19Espanyol402246-22
20Leganés400428-60

Scores Vs Opponents

PosTeamHomeAway
1Sevilla22nd Dec5th May
2Barcelona2-120th Jan
3Atlético de Madrid3rd Nov10th Mar
4Real Madrid14th Apr4-1
5Espanyol12th May6th Jan
6Alavés25th Nov7th Apr
7Real Valladolid3rd Apr2nd Dec
8Real Betis10th Feb1-0
9Real Sociedad2-217th Feb
10Celta de Vigo28th Apr16th Dec
11Levante3rd Mar27th Oct
12Eibar27th Jan1-0
13Getafe9th Dec31st Mar
14Valencia CF24th Feb20th Oct
15Girona17th Mar11th Nov
16Villarreal0-121st Apr
17Athletic Club24th Apr2-1
18LeganésN/AN/A
19Rayo Vallecano1-03rd Feb
20Huesca13th Jan19th May
PosTeamHomeAway
1Sevilla1-424th Apr
2Barcelona3rd Nov10th Mar
3Atlético de Madrid17th Feb1-0
4Real Madrid28th Apr16th Dec
5Espanyol2-210th Feb
6Alavés1-527th Jan
7Real Valladolid12th May6th Jan
8Real Betis31st Mar9th Dec
9Real Sociedad20th Jan2-2
10Celta de Vigo13th Jan19th May
11Levante22nd Dec5th May
12Eibar2nd Dec3rd Apr
13Getafe21st Oct24th Feb
14Valencia CF7th Apr25th Nov
15Girona3rd Mar27th Oct
16Villarreal11th Nov17th Mar
17Athletic Club1st Sep14th Apr
18Leganés3rd Feb1-0
19Rayo VallecanoN/AN/A
20Huesca21st Apr0-1
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Leganes vs Rayo Vallecano Stats

  • Leganes have only won two of their last 13 La Liga games (D2 L9), keeping only one clean sheet in those matches (0-0 vs Deportivo de La Coruña in April).
  • Rayo Vallecano have only won two of their last 11 La Liga games (D3 L6), the last one coming on 14th September (1-0 vs Huesca).
  • Leganes are winless in their last 11 La Liga derbies (D3 L8) while Rayo have lost five of their last six (W1).
  • Leganes have posted the lowest average possession figure of any side in La Liga this season (34.84%).
  • Eibar have lost possession more times than any other side in La Liga this season (1314), with Eibar’s Ruben Pena losing possession the most often of any player (153).
  • Rayo Vallecano player Oscar Trejo has been involved in three goals in his last four La Liga games (one scored and two assisted).
  • Nabil El Zhar has scored three of Leganes’s six goals in La Liga this season, with all of them coming at Butarque.
  • Leganes manager Mauricio Pellegrino has only won one of his nine games against sides from Madrid in La Liga (D5 L3), 2-0 in November 2012 against Atletico de Madrid as Valencia’s boss.

How we calculate our stats

Our stats are based on games this season. Games played this season: 14
(7 by Leganes) and (7 by Rayo Vallecano)

Goals

Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
57%
BTTS (%)
57%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
86%
57%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
57%
57%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
57%
29%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
57%
0.86
Average Goals For
1
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
2
0%
Cleansheet (%)
29%
43%
Failed to Score (%)
29%
Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
67%
BTTS (%)
75%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
75%
67%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
75%
67%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
75%
33%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
75%
1.33
Average Goals For
1
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2.75
0%
Cleansheet (%)
25%
33%
Failed to Score (%)
25%
Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
50%
BTTS (%)
33%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
100%
50%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
33%
50%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
33%
25%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
33%
0.5
Average Goals For
1
2
Average Goals Conceded
1
0%
Cleansheet (%)
33%
50%
Failed to Score (%)
33%
Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
60%
BTTS (%)
40%
100%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
80%
60%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
40%
60%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
40%
40%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
40%
0.8
Average Goals For
0.6
2
Average Goals Conceded
2
0%
Cleansheet (%)
40%
40%
Failed to Score (%)
40%
Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%
Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
0%
BTTS (%)
0%
0%
Over 0.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 1.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 2.5 Goals (%)
0%
0%
Over 3.5 Goals (%)
0%
0
Average Goals For
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0%
Cleansheet (%)
0%
0%
Failed to Score (%)
0%

Goalscorers

Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
Top Goalscorers
Nabil El Zhar
3
2
Raúl de Tomás
Guido Carrillo
2
1
Adrián Embarba
First Goalscorers
Guido Carrillo
1
1
Raúl de Tomás

Cards & Corners

Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
3
Average Cards For
2
Player Cards
Jonathan Silva
3
2
Álvaro García
Rubén Pérez
3
2
Abdoulaye Ba
Unai Bustinza
3
1
José Pozo
3
Average Corners For
5
5
Average Corners Against
6

Goal Margins

Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge
Total1234+
W2000
L4001
Total1234+
W1000
L2002
Home1234+
W2000
L1000
Home1234+
W0000
L0002
Away1234+
W0000
L3001
Away1234+
W1000
L2000

Goal Timings

Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge

First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge

Home First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Home Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Leganes badge Rayo Vallecano badge

Away First Half

0-15'
0-15'
16-30'
16-30'
31-45'
31-45'

Away Second Half

46-60'
46-60'
61-75'
61-75'
76-90'
76-90'
Free Bets & Offers
BookieHome WinDrawAway WinOffer
11/10 12/5 12/5
23/20 9/4 13/5
11/10 23/10 27/10
11/10 21/10 5/2
23/20 11/5 5/2
1/1 11/5 5/2
1/1 23/10 11/4
BookieYesNoOffer
10/11 10/11
17/20 17/20
9/10 9/10
19/20 5/6
19/20 5/6
17/20 17/20
10/13 23/25
BookieHome & YesAway & YesOffer
7/2 6/1
15/4 6/1
7/2 13/2
19/5 13/2
19/5 13/2
7/2 13/2
10/3 6/1
BookieUnder 0.5Over 0.5Under 1.5Over 1.5Under 2.5Over 2.5Under 3.5Over 3.5Under 4.5Over 4.5Under 5.5Over 5.5Under 6.5Over 6.5Under 7.5Over 7.5Under 8.5Over 8.5Under 9.5Over 9.5Offer
8/1 1/12 11/5 4/11 4/6 23/20 2/7 11/4 1/12 8/1 1/40 16/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
6/1 1/14 19/10 4/11 13/20 11/10 1/4 13/5 1/12 11/2 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
7/1 1/14 2/1 4/11 4/6 6/5 1/4 11/4 1/14 7/1 1/50 12/1 1/300 40/1 1/1000 100/1 1/1000 100/1 1/1000 100/1
15/2 1/12 19/10 2/5 8/13 6/5 2/9 16/5 1/14 8/1 1/40 22/1 1/200 60/1 1/1000 150/1 1/1000 N/A N/A N/A
15/2 1/12 19/10 2/5 8/13 6/5 2/9 16/5 1/14 8/1 1/40 22/1 1/200 60/1 1/1000 150/1 1/1000 N/A N/A N/A
7/1 1/20 2/1 1/3 13/20 11/10 1/5 3/1 1/20 7/1 1/200 16/1 1/1000 33/1 1/1000 80/1 1/1000 100/1 1/1000 100/1
17/2 1/20 23/10 2/7 8/11 1/1 1/4 13/5 1/14 13/2 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
Leganes badge
0
Rayo Vallecano badge
0
BookieOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOddsOffer
6/1 17/2 8/1 18/1 16/1 28/1 40/1 40/1 50/1 125/1 100/1 80/1 150/1 400/1 350/1 300/1 500/1 8/1 11/2 14/1 50/1 400/1 17/2 16/1 11/1 40/1 28/1 40/1 80/1 66/1 80/1 150/1 350/1 250/1 350/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
6/1 8/1 8/1 16/1 14/1 22/1 40/1 33/1 50/1 100/1 100/1 80/1 150/1 N/A N/A 250/1 N/A 15/2 5/1 12/1 50/1 N/A 8/1 14/1 11/1 40/1 25/1 33/1 100/1 80/1 80/1 150/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
6/1 8/1 15/2 14/1 14/1 25/1 45/1 45/1 70/1 200/1 125/1 125/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 7/1 5/1 13/1 70/1 200/1 9/1 14/1 12/1 40/1 25/1 40/1 125/1 100/1 100/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1N/A
11/2 17/2 8/1 20/1 18/1 33/1 55/1 50/1 80/1 150/1 150/1 125/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A 15/2 5/1 16/1 80/1 N/A 8/1 18/1 11/1 50/1 33/1 45/1 150/1 100/1 125/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
11/2 17/2 8/1 20/1 18/1 33/1 55/1 50/1 80/1 150/1 150/1 125/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A 15/2 5/1 16/1 80/1 N/A 8/1 18/1 11/1 50/1 33/1 45/1 150/1 100/1 125/1 200/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
11/2 8/1 15/2 16/1 14/1 25/1 45/1 45/1 75/1 200/1 150/1 150/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 7/1 5/1 13/1 80/1 200/1 9/1 16/1 11/1 45/1 30/1 40/1 175/1 100/1 150/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1 200/1N/A
6/1 8/1 15/2 16/1 14/1 24/1 35/1 34/1 55/1 120/1 100/1 90/1 150/1 N/A 300/1 275/1 N/A 17/2 21/4 13/1 55/1 300/1 9/1 17/1 21/2 40/1 28/1 33/1 120/1 80/1 100/1 160/1 N/A 300/1 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/AN/A
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3/1 3/4 15/2 1/5 16/1 1/20 13/2 1/3 16/1 1/14 N/A N/A N/A N/A
3/1 7/10 8/1 2/9 16/1 1/20 7/1 30/100 16/1 1/16 N/A N/A N/A N/A
3/1 8/11 9/1 1/6 N/A N/A 15/2 2/9 25/1 1/25 N/A N/A N/A N/A
10/3 7/10 10/1 2/9 33/1 1/18 8/1 3/10 28/1 1/14 100/1 1/80 100/1 1/66
10/3 7/10 10/1 2/9 33/1 1/18 8/1 3/10 28/1 1/14 100/1 1/80 100/1 1/66
3/1 4/6 9/1 1/6 N/A N/A 15/2 2/9 25/1 1/25 N/A N/A N/A N/A
11/4 13/20 N/A N/A N/A N/A 15/2 1/6 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A