Millwall vs Aston Villa predictions and betting tips for Saturday afternoon’s Championship clash. In their first match without manager Steve Bruce, Aston Villa face a tough trip to a Millwall side who showed such good fight against Nottingham Forest. Read on for all our predictions and betting tips.
Millwall vs Aston Villa Predictions, Betting Tips and Match Previews
Millwall to Win @
Millwall 2-1 @
Reason For Millwall vs Aston Villa Betting Tips
After a public dressing-down from manager Neil Harris following their wretched start to the season, Millwall responded in the correct fashion, drawing 2-2 away against a quality Nottingham Forest team. They were the better team throughout the match, having 20 shots on goal and utilising the long-ball tactic to devastating effect. What will have pleased Neil Harris the most is the way his side did not give up at 2-0 down. They can surely use this performance as a springboard to climb up the table.
It would be ironic that Millwall’s spark to a recovery would come after a late comeback in a game. Throughout the season, they have been heartbroken in multiple games to drop two or more points. Indeed, over the weekend, they conceded two late goals to lose at home to Sheffield United after playing doggedly for most of the match but breaking concentration for two key moments. Moreover, they have conceded last-minute equalisers to table-toppers Leeds and Middlesbrough to drop yet more points, yet at the very least, showing the potential this team has to succeed in the division.
In other games though, they have looked toothless, particularly in attack. They lost to Rotherham, QPR, and West Brom without scoring, whilst were defeated by Swansea at home, despite the visitors having ten men for 85 minutes. In addition, the defence that was so strong last year has disintegrated, with the team conceding the second-most goals.
However, wins against Derby and the draws against the stronger sides in the division suggested that Millwall should be able to rise up the table once they got out of this slump.
They face an Aston Villa side who have made the headlines this week with their performance against Preston and the subsequent sacking of manager Steve Bruce. After two years in charge, Bruce lost his job after a run which saw Villa only win once in nine matches. It has come after a summer of turmoil, in which the threat of administration loomed large for the club.
The draw at home to Preston was the final straw, which was marred by cabbage being thrown at Bruce before the match in protest at his management. The game was actually going well for Villa until James Chester brought down a Preston player through on goal to get sent off when the home side were 2-0 up. Preston duly scored the penalty and made the man advantage count, turning things round to make it 3-2 going into the final minutes. However, an injury time goal from Yannick Bolasie levelled things up before Glenn Whelan missed a penalty in the 97th minute to mean points were shared and Bruce lost his job.
Bruce has paid for what has been perceived as a negative brand of football and a lack of tactical nous in putting players in the wrong positions. For example, Mile Jedinak has been playing centre-back, despite being a midfielder, after Tommy Elphick was allowed to go on loan to Hull and no replacement was brought in. In contrast, Villa’s attack was boosted to an almost Premier League standard, with Bolasie and Tammy Abraham coming in.
Moreover, the team has not been dominating games that their line-up suggests they should. Injury-time goals have had to be scored to rescue points against Blackburn, Preston, and Brentford, and in a couple of games Villa have not been able to finish off the match, or been well-beaten, such as the 4-1 loss to Sheffield United. Whilst Villa had won a few games like a 2-0 victory against Rotherham, it was simply not good enough and although Villa are two points of the play-offs, their football simply hasn’t been good enough.
With Villa in turmoil in this week and no new manager appointed, we think Millwall can take advantage of the strife and win this game. They had a great performance in midweek and will be more confident coming into this match of their ability to win matches. Villa have looked shaky in recent matches and until a new manager comes in, they will be less organised. Thus, backing Millwall to win holds real value, whilst backing them with a 2-1 correct score-line seems apt, given Villa still have a formidable front-line.
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Published: October 5, 2018
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Recent Competition Form
|3/6 (50%)||Over 2.5 Goals||3/6 (50%)|
|4/6 (67%)||Both Teams Scored||5/6 (83%)|
Head To Head
|Over 2.5 Goals||0/2 (0%)|
|Both Teams To Score||0/2 (0%)|
|Previous Meetings (Last 2)|
|2||West Bromwich Albion||12||7||3||2||31||17||+14||24|
|18||Queens Park Rangers||12||4||2||6||9||19||-10||14|
|22||Preston North End||12||2||3||7||18||24||-6||9|
|1||West Bromwich Albion||6||5||0||1||20||7||+13||15|
|14||Preston North End||6||2||2||2||13||10||+3||8|
|19||Queens Park Rangers||6||2||1||3||5||7||-2||7|
|5||West Bromwich Albion||6||2||3||1||11||10||+1||9|
|13||Queens Park Rangers||6||2||1||3||4||12||-8||7|
|23||Preston North End||6||0||1||5||5||14||-9||1|
Scores Vs Opponents
|1||Sheffield United||2-3||13th Apr|
|2||West Bromwich Albion||6th Apr||2-0|
|3||Leeds United||1-1||30th Mar|
|5||Nottingham Forest||29th Dec||2-2|
|6||Sheffield Wednesday||12th Feb||2-1|
|7||Brentford||19th Apr||3rd Nov|
|8||Derby County||2-1||26th Jan|
|9||Norwich City||2nd Mar||10th Nov|
|10||Blackburn Rovers||12th Jan||0-0|
|11||Swansea City||1-2||9th Feb|
|12||Wigan Athletic||23rd Oct||5th May|
|13||Bristol City||16th Mar||2nd Dec|
|14||Stoke City||27th Apr||22nd Dec|
|15||Aston Villa||2-1||22nd Apr|
|16||Bolton Wanderers||24th Nov||9th Mar|
|17||Birmingham City||28th Nov||13th Mar|
|18||Queens Park Rangers||10th Apr||2-0|
|19||Rotherham United||2nd Feb||1-0|
|21||Reading||26th Dec||20th Oct|
|22||Preston North End||23rd Feb||15th Dec|
|23||Ipswich Town||27th Oct||1st Jan|
|24||Hull City||8th Dec||16th Feb|
|1||Sheffield United||9th Feb||4-1|
|2||West Bromwich Albion||16th Feb||8th Dec|
|3||Leeds United||22nd Dec||27th Apr|
|4||Middlesbrough||16th Mar||1st Dec|
|5||Nottingham Forest||28th Nov||13th Mar|
|6||Sheffield Wednesday||1-2||6th Apr|
|8||Derby County||2nd Mar||10th Nov|
|9||Norwich City||5th May||23rd Oct|
|10||Blackburn Rovers||30th Mar||1-1|
|11||Swansea City||20th Oct||26th Dec|
|12||Wigan Athletic||3-2||12th Jan|
|13||Bristol City||13th Apr||1-1|
|14||Stoke City||15th Dec||23rd Feb|
|16||Bolton Wanderers||2nd Nov||19th Apr|
|17||Birmingham City||25th Nov||10th Mar|
|18||Queens Park Rangers||1st Jan||26th Oct|
|19||Rotherham United||2-0||10th Apr|
|22||Preston North End||3-3||29th Dec|
|23||Ipswich Town||26th Jan||1-1|
|24||Hull City||19th Jan||1-3|
Millwall vs Aston Villa Stats
- Both teams have found the back of the net in 10 of Aston Villa’s 11 league games this season.
- Millwall haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last nine Championship games, and are winless in their last eight (D2 L6).
- Millwall have lost the most points from winning positions in the Championship this season (10), while Aston Villa have gained the most from behind (10).
- Aston Villa have won just one of their last nine Championship games (D6 L2), a run that saw them part ways with manager Steve Bruce this week.
How we calculate our stats
Our stats are based on games this season. Games played this season: 22
(11 by Millwall) and (11 by Aston Villa)
Cards & Corners
Home First Half
Home Second Half
Away First Half
Away Second Half
|Bookie||Home Win||Draw||Away Win||Offer|
|Bookie||Home & Yes||Away & Yes||Offer|
|Bookie||Under 0.5||Over 0.5||Under 1.5||Over 1.5||Under 2.5||Over 2.5||Under 3.5||Over 3.5||Under 4.5||Over 4.5||Under 5.5||Over 5.5||Under 6.5||Over 6.5||Under 7.5||Over 7.5||Under 8.5||Over 8.5||Under 9.5||Over 9.5||Offer|
|Bookie||Home -1||Away +1||Home -2||Away +2||Away -1||Home +1||Away -2||Home +2||Away -3||Home +3||Home -3||Away +3||Home -4||Away +4||Away -4||Home +4||Offer|