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Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts Picks, Predictions and Betting Tips

Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
Sky Sports Main Event 12th January 21:35 Arrowhead Stadium V
Indianapolis Colts (10-6)
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Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts predictions for the first AFC divisional round playoff game from Arrowhead. Can Andrew Luck and the Colts pull off back to back road wins against Maholmes and the Chiefs? Read on for our free betting tips.

NFL - Kansas City Chiefs - Patrick Mahomes

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts Predictions

Away Win +5.0 @ 10/11

Please check your betslip matches the predictions shown, as handicaps, lines and totals can change.

Our match preview predictions are fully researched and provided in good faith but no profits are guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly, you should only ever gamble with money you can afford to lose. Visit our responsible gambling guidelines for more information. 18+

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Reason for Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts Betting tips

Starting out with a big upset win here this weekend in the first divisional game. One thing that we were reminded of last weekend is that it’s win or you’re going home. There’s a lot more pressure on players in playoff football and it’s a completely different environment to a regular season game. The whole of America is watching so can you handle the pressure or are you going to crumble.

We have two great offenses with both ranking in the top six for points scored this season, Chiefs ranked number one. They average 29.9 points per game at home and the Colts average 23.9 points per game on the road. The big concern for the Chiefs here is their defense. It ranks 24th in points allowed, 31st in yards allowed per game, 31st in passing yards allowed per game and 27th in rushing yards allowed per game. The Colts rank pretty well including 8th against the run and 15th against the pass. They just ran for 200 yards against Houston who were the number four ranked defense against the run.

I think the Colts will feel confident in stopping the run as they are and force Patrick Maholmes to beat them through the air with added defensive backs in coverage. On offense they’ll look to run the football, control the clock, shorten the game and keep the high powered Chiefs offense off the field. I don’t see how KC can stop Indy offensively their defense just isn’t good enough. Indy hasn’t allowed a sack for six games and Kansas City only covered one from seven against the spread in the second half of the season. Once again I’m taking the more experienced quarterback with + points here so look for Indy to cover and I think they’ll run the ball a lot which will lead to a lower scoring game.

Head to head

The Colts and Chiefs haven’t met since 2016 when the Chiefs won 30-14 on the road but haven’t met during the Patrick Maholmes era

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts Stats

  • Since 1994, the Chiefs are 0-6 in home playoff games
  • Kansas City has gone 1-11 straight up and against the spread in its last 12 postseason appearances

Kansas City Chiefs Team News

S Eric Berry (heel), RB Spencer Ware (hamstring) and WR Sammy Watkins are questionable and LB Dorian O’Daniel (calf/ankle) is doubtful.

Indianapolis Colts Team News

WR Ryan Grant (TDE) has been ruled out. DT Denico Autry (shoulder) and WR Dontrelle Inman (shoulder/finger) are questionable. DT  Tyquan Lewis (knee) is doubtful

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts Predictions

Away Win +5.0 @ 10/11

Please check your betslip carefully before placing a bet, handicaps, lines and totals can change!

Our match preview predictions are fully researched and provided in good faith but no profits are guaranteed. Please gamble responsibly, you should only ever gamble with money you can afford to lose. Visit our responsible gambling guidelines for more information. 18+
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